Fortuna Sittard
vs
Twente
1 – 1 Full time
| 9′ | Anthony Descotte | ||
| 34′ | Robin Propper | ||
| 55′ | Marko PjacaKristian Nokkvi Hlynsson | ||
| 67′ | Daouda WeidmannThomas Van den Belt | ||
| 74′ | Bart van Rooij | ||
| 75′ | Lequincio ZeefuikKristoffer Peterson | ||
| 81′ | Daan RotsLucas hesselink of vennegoor | ||
| 84′ | Mohammed IhattarenSven Simons | ||
| 84′ | Ivo PintoSiebe Wylin | ||
| 90′ | Shiloh 't ZandDaley Sinkgraven |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 21 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 5 | Saves | 4 |
| 303 | Accurate passes | 421 |
Fortuna Sittard vs Twente overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fortuna Sittard vs Twente
| Probability | Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Twente |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.3% | 21.4% | 56.3% |
| Market | 14.5% | 18.7% | 66.8% |
| Final | 16.5% | 19.4% | 64.2% |
| Edge | +2.0% | +0.7% | -2.6% |
Why Twente
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.28 vs 1.41.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fortuna Sittard and Twente expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.69
Fortuna Sittard and Twente attack and defence ratings
Fortuna Sittard
Twente
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fortuna Sittard vs Twente: result vs prediction
Fortuna Sittard 1 – 1 Twente
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fortuna Sittard vs Twente markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Twente | 64.2% | 1.56 | -2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 83.5% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortuna Sittard | 16.5% |
| Draw | 19.4% | |
| Twente | 64.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.7% |
| No | 31.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 83.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Twente win | 35.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 43.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.2% |
| 1-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-3 | 7.0% |
Fortuna Sittard vs Twente stats
Fortuna Sittard and Twente recent form
| Fortuna Sittard |
WLWWLW |
| Twente |
WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fortuna Sittard and Twente going into this match
Fortuna Sittard record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Twente record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
Fortuna Sittard vs Twente head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Fortuna Sittard | Twente | Eredivisie | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-26 | Twente | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie | 3-2 |
| 2025-04-05 | Twente | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-23 | Fortuna Sittard | Twente | Eredivisie | 1-2 |
| 2024-04-06 | Twente | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie | 2-0 |
| 2023-10-08 | Fortuna Sittard | Twente | Eredivisie | 0-3 |
| 2023-03-11 | Fortuna Sittard | Twente | Eredivisie | 0-3 |
| 2022-08-14 | Twente | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie | 3-0 |
| 2022-05-07 | Twente | Fortuna Sittard | Eredivisie | 1-2 |
| 2021-08-14 | Fortuna Sittard | Twente | Eredivisie | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fortuna Sittard vs Twente odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.5%, draw 18.7%, away 66.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.61 | 5.06 | 1.44 |
| Bet365 | 6.25 | 5.00 | 1.40 |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 5.00 | 1.40 |
| Betano | 7.00 | 5.30 | 1.44 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 5.00 | 1.36 |
| Dafabet | 6.40 | 5.40 | 1.44 |
| Marathonbet | 6.40 | 4.90 | 1.40 |
| Pinnacle | 6.75 | 5.41 | 1.42 |
| SBO | 5.80 | 4.75 | 1.38 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 4.80 | 1.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
46 snapshots recorded, from .