GO Ahead Eagles
vs
Sparta Rotterdam
Garuda Lions Prediction: GO Ahead Eagles
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam overview
Garuda Lions analysis: GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam
| Probability | GO Ahead Eagles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.6% | 16.1% | 13.3% |
| Market | 54.3% | 23.2% | 22.5% |
| Final | 58.4% | 21.4% | 20.2% |
| Edge | +16.3% | -7.1% | -9.2% |
Why GO Ahead Eagles
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.95 vs 1.28.
- The market prices GO Ahead Eagles below the model: +16.3 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam match preview
GO Ahead Eagles are favored in their upcoming match against Sparta Rotterdam, with a 58% probability of winning compared to 20% for Sparta. The expected goals suggest a strong offensive performance from GO Ahead Eagles, projected at 2.94, while Sparta Rotterdam is expected to score 1.29. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring at an 8% probability, indicating a competitive match.
In terms of recent form, GO Ahead Eagles have recorded three draws, one win, and a loss in their last five matches, while Sparta Rotterdam has struggled with two losses and three draws. Historically, Sparta Rotterdam has had the upper hand in their last two encounters, winning once and drawing once. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is high at 79%, and both teams scoring is also probable at 69%.
GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam team news
GO Ahead Eagles news
- E. Waayers — injury
- P. Saathof — knee injury
Sparta Rotterdam news
- S. Mito — injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.23
GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam attack and defence ratings
GO Ahead Eagles
Sparta Rotterdam
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GO Ahead Eagles | 58.4% | 1.71 | +16.3% | 1.78 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.3% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | GO Ahead Eagles win | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GO Ahead Eagles | 58.4% |
| Draw | 21.4% | |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 20.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.1% |
| No | 30.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | GO Ahead Eagles win | 51.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 29.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.1% |
| 3-1 | 8.0% | |
| 2-0 | 6.3% |
GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam stats
GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam recent form
| GO Ahead Eagles |
DDDLWD |
| Sparta Rotterdam |
LLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam season so far
GO Ahead Eagles record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
Sparta Rotterdam record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Sparta Rotterdam | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-23 | GO Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 0-3 |
| 2025-02-14 | GO Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-18 | Sparta Rotterdam | GO Ahead Eagles | KNVB Beker | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Sparta Rotterdam | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-21 | Sparta Rotterdam | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-22 | GO Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 0-0 |
| 2023-02-12 | Sparta Rotterdam | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 2-1 |
| 2022-08-27 | GO Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 0-1 |
| 2022-03-12 | Sparta Rotterdam | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.3%, draw 23.2%, away 22.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 4.04 | 4.28 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.15 | 4.25 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 4.20 | 3.90 |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 3.92 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.70 | 4.07 | 4.52 |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.68 | 3.52 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
44 snapshots recorded, from .