Eredivisie
·
Full time
·Matchday 8
GO Ahead Eagles
vs
Sparta Rotterdam
3 – 3 Full time
| 23′ | Milan Zonneveld | ||
| 45′ | Evert LinthorstYassir Salah Rahmouni | ||
| 49′ | Isaac Achmed Koroma Junior Babadi | ||
| 50′ | Mathis Suray | ||
| 57′ | Dean Ruben JamesThibo Baeten | ||
| 59′ | Cedric Hatenboer | ||
| 60′ | Milan Zonneveld | ||
| 61′ | Robin van CruijsenCasper Terho | ||
| 61′ | Jens ToornstraTeo Quintero León | ||
| 61′ | Lushendry Martes | ||
| 73′ | Alfons SampstedTino Jukic | ||
| 74′ | Stefán Ingi SigurdarsonOskar Siira Sivertsen | ||
| 75′ | Søren Tengstedt | ||
| 79′ | Bruno Martins IndiAndrej Kostić | ||
| 81′ | Lushendry Martes | ||
| 84′ | Casper Terho | ||
| 85′ | Søren TengstedtErik Flataker Hovden |
GO Ahead Eagles
59%
Draw
21%
Sparta Rotterdam
20%
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 18 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 63 | Possession % | 37 |
| 9 | Corners | 6 |
| 4 | Fouls | 8 |
| 5 | Saves | 5 |
| 446 | Accurate passes | 235 |
GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam overview
Garuda Lions analysis: GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam
| Probability | GO Ahead Eagles | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.7% | 16.1% | 13.2% |
| Market | 54.7% | 23.0% | 22.3% |
| Final | 58.7% | 21.3% | 20.0% |
| Edge | +4.0% | -1.7% | -2.3% |
Why GO Ahead Eagles
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.95 vs 1.28.
- The market prices GO Ahead Eagles below our published probability: +4.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
93%
3+ goals
79%
No goals
2%
GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam expected goals
GO Ahead Eagles
2.95
Sparta Rotterdam
1.28
Total expected goals: 4.23
GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam attack and defence ratings
GO Ahead Eagles
Attack
1.14 +14%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Sparta Rotterdam
Attack
0.80 -20%
Defence
1.44 +44%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam: result vs prediction
GO Ahead Eagles 3 – 3 Sparta Rotterdam
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GO Ahead Eagles | 58.7% | 1.70 | +4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.4% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | GO Ahead Eagles win | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GO Ahead Eagles | 58.7% |
| Draw | 21.3% | |
| Sparta Rotterdam | 20.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 79.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 20.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.0% |
| No | 31.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | GO Ahead Eagles win | 51.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 29.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.1% |
| 3-1 | 8.0% | |
| 2-0 | 6.3% |
GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam stats
GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam recent form
| GO Ahead Eagles |
DDDLWD |
| Sparta Rotterdam |
LLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
GO Ahead Eagles and Sparta Rotterdam going into this match
GO Ahead Eagles record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
Sparta Rotterdam record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3GO Ahead Eagles wins
3Draws
4Sparta Rotterdam wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Sparta Rotterdam | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 2-2 |
| 2025-08-23 | GO Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 0-3 |
| 2025-02-14 | GO Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-18 | Sparta Rotterdam | GO Ahead Eagles | KNVB Beker | 1-1 |
| 2024-09-15 | Sparta Rotterdam | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-21 | Sparta Rotterdam | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 0-2 |
| 2023-10-22 | GO Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 0-0 |
| 2023-02-12 | Sparta Rotterdam | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 2-1 |
| 2022-08-27 | GO Ahead Eagles | Sparta Rotterdam | Eredivisie | 0-1 |
| 2022-03-12 | Sparta Rotterdam | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
GO Ahead Eagles vs Sparta Rotterdam odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.7%, draw 23.0%, away 22.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 4.04 | 4.28 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.33 | 4.00 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 4.30 | 4.50 |
| Betfair | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.73 | 3.92 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 4.25 | 4.56 |
| SBO | 1.70 | 3.80 | 3.62 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.71 ▼ -0.18
X
4.07 ▲ +0.23
2
4.20 ▲ +0.65
45 snapshots recorded, from .