PEC Zwolle
vs
GO Ahead Eagles
Garuda Lions Prediction: GO Ahead Eagles
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles overview
Garuda Lions analysis: PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles
| Probability | PEC Zwolle | Draw | GO Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 16.7% | 19.1% | 64.2% |
| Market | 26.7% | 24.9% | 48.4% |
| Final | 24.2% | 23.4% | 52.4% |
| Edge | -10.0% | -5.8% | +15.8% |
Why GO Ahead Eagles
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 1.27.
- The market prices GO Ahead Eagles below the model: +15.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.02, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles match preview
PEC Zwolle faces GO Ahead Eagles in an Eredivisie clash with the home side showing a 26% probability of winning, while the visitors hold a stronger 50% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 1-2, occurring with a 9% likelihood. The expected goals for PEC Zwolle stand at 1.27, contrasting with GO Ahead Eagles' 2.56, suggesting a significant offensive advantage for the visitors.
Recent form indicates struggles for PEC Zwolle, who have recorded three losses and a draw in their last five matches, while GO Ahead Eagles have managed four draws followed by a win. In their last two head-to-head encounters, PEC Zwolle has not secured a victory, with GO Ahead Eagles winning both matches. The model indicates a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance for both teams to score.
PEC Zwolle and GO Ahead Eagles team news
PEC Zwolle news
- F. Krastev — achilles tendon injury
- Y. Namli — knee injury
GO Ahead Eagles news
- J. Dirksen — inactive
- P. Saathof — knee injury
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
PEC Zwolle and GO Ahead Eagles expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.82
PEC Zwolle and GO Ahead Eagles attack and defence ratings
PEC Zwolle
GO Ahead Eagles
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | GO Ahead Eagles | 52.4% | 1.91 | +15.8% | 2.02 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | GO Ahead Eagles win | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PEC Zwolle | 24.2% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| GO Ahead Eagles | 52.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.1% |
| No | 32.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | GO Ahead Eagles win | 43.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 35.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.1% |
| 1-1 | 7.8% | |
| 1-3 | 7.7% |
PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles stats
PEC Zwolle and GO Ahead Eagles recent form
| PEC Zwolle |
LLLDLW |
| GO Ahead Eagles |
DDDDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
PEC Zwolle and GO Ahead Eagles season so far
PEC Zwolle record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GO Ahead Eagles record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | GO Ahead Eagles | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 5-0 |
| 2025-09-21 | PEC Zwolle | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 0-2 |
| 2025-05-11 | PEC Zwolle | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-03 | GO Ahead Eagles | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 2-2 |
| 2024-02-11 | GO Ahead Eagles | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2023-09-17 | PEC Zwolle | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-03 | PEC Zwolle | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-19 | GO Ahead Eagles | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
| 2017-03-19 | GO Ahead Eagles | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 1-3 |
| 2016-10-30 | PEC Zwolle | GO Ahead Eagles | Eredivisie | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
PEC Zwolle vs GO Ahead Eagles odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.2%, draw 24.7%, away 48.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.69 | 3.80 | 1.97 |
| Bet365 | 3.50 | 3.90 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.90 | 1.93 |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.80 | 2.02 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 4.00 | 1.95 |
| Dafabet | 3.45 | 3.95 | 2.01 |
| Marathonbet | 3.58 | 3.68 | 1.91 |
| Pinnacle | 3.71 | 3.76 | 1.98 |
| SBO | 2.94 | 3.35 | 1.96 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.80 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
30 snapshots recorded, from .