Eredivisie Β· Β·Matchday 10

GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar

Garuda Lions Prediction: GO Ahead Eagles

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

De Adelaarshorst, Deventer

GO Ahead Eagles 59%
Draw 21%
Telstar 19%

Confidence: Low  Β·  blended with market odds

Chance GO Ahead Eagles wins
59%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
65%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar overview

Garuda Lions analysis: GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGO Ahead EaglesDrawTelstar
Model50.8%23.6%25.5%
Market62.3%20.5%17.1%
Final59.4%21.3%19.2%
Edge-11.5%+3.1%+8.4%

Confidence: Low

Why GO Ahead Eagles

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 1.37.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 1.54, recorded β€” the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar match preview

GO Ahead Eagles are favored in their upcoming match against Telstar, with a 59% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for GO Ahead Eagles stand at 1.99, while Telstar is projected to score 1.37. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring with a 9% likelihood. Both teams have shown a tendency for matches with goals, as our model indicates a 65% chance for over 2.5 goals and a 65% probability for both teams to score.

In terms of recent form, GO Ahead Eagles have recorded four draws, one loss, and one win in their last six matches, while Telstar has struggled with five draws and one loss in the same period. Historically, in their last three encounters, GO Ahead Eagles have not secured a win, with Telstar winning twice and one match ending in a draw. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

GO Ahead Eagle ↓ / Telstar β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 10% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 6% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 65%
No goals 4%

GO Ahead Eagles and Telstar expected goals

GO Ahead Eagles 1.99
Telstar 1.37

Total expected goals: 3.36

GO Ahead Eagles and Telstar attack and defence ratings

GO Ahead Eagles

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 1.16 +16%

Telstar

Attack 0.79 -21%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Eredivisie

Before and after this match

GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 GO Ahead Eagles 59.4% 1.68 -11.5% 1.54
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 65.2% 1.53 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 65.4% 1.53 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.8% 1.24 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 49.2% 2.03 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2GO Ahead Eagles59.4%
Draw21.3%
Telstar19.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565.2%
Under 2.534.8%
Both teams to scoreYes65.4%
No34.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.8%
12 (either side)78.7%
X2 (draw or away)40.6%
Handicap -1GO Ahead Eagles win30.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss49.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
2-19.4%
2-06.9%

GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar stats

GO Ahead Eagles and Telstar recent form

newest first
GO Ahead Eagles DDDDLW
Telstar DLDLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

GO Ahead Eagles and Telstar season so far

league record

GO Ahead Eagles record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.

Telstar record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

0GO Ahead Eagles wins 1Draws 2Telstar wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-08GO Ahead EaglesTelstarEredivisie1-1
2026-02-05TelstarGO Ahead EaglesKNVB Beker2-1
2025-09-28TelstarGO Ahead EaglesEredivisie4-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

GO Ahead Eagles vs Telstar odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.4%, draw 20.6%, away 17.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.54 4.69 5.62
Bet365 1.50 4.33 5.50
BetVictor 1.50 4.75 5.25
Betano 1.53 4.45 5.70
Betfair 1.47 4.75 5.50
Marathonbet 1.49 4.55 5.45
William Hill 1.50 4.20 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 β€”
X 4.55 β–² +0.22
2 5.45 β–Ό -0.05

13 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 1 GO Ahead Eagles Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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