Eredivisie · 2026-09-19T19:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 7

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard

0 – 1 Full time

19′			Nathan Tjoe-A-On
59′			Ole RomenyLequincio Zeefuik
64′			Uriël van Aalst
70′			Nathan Tjoe-A-OnPer van Loon
71′			Eser GürbüzVito van Crooy
72′			Vito van Crooy
79′			Philip Brittijn
82′			Jaden SloryChido Obi
82′			Tonny VilhenaThomas Verheydt
83′			Shiloh 't ZandSyb Van Ottele
83′			Anthony DescotteKristoffer Peterson
89′			Calvin TwigtMats Lemmens
90′			Ivo Pinto

Koning Willem II Stadion, TilburgReferee: Dennis Higler

Willem II

38%

Draw

25%

Fortuna Sittard

37%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

15	Shots	17
3	Shots on target	3
46	Possession %	54
5	Corners	3
9	Fouls	10
2	Saves	3
368	Accurate passes	430

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Willem II	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
Model	39.4%	23.2%	37.3%
Market	37.5%	25.7%	36.8%
Final	38.0%	25.0%	36.9%
Edge	+1.9%	-2.4%	+0.5%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

97%

2+ goals

89%

3+ goals

72%

No goals

Willem II and Fortuna Sittard expected goals

Willem II

1.87

Fortuna Sittard

1.84

Total expected goals: 3.71

Willem II and Fortuna Sittard attack and defence ratings

Willem II

Attack

0.82 -18%

Defence

1.23 +23%

Fortuna Sittard

Attack

0.99 -1%

Defence

1.29 +29%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard: result vs prediction

Willem II 0 – 1 Fortuna Sittard

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Eredivisie

Groningen vs PEC Zwolle — team news & stats · 2026-09-18
ADO Den Haag vs Cambuur · 2026-09-19
Sparta Rotterdam v Heerenveen — match page · 2026-09-19
Ajax vs Excelsior — team news & stats · 2026-09-19
Feyenoord v Utrecht — match page · 2026-09-20
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar — team news & stats · 2026-09-20
Twente v PSV Eindhoven — match page · 2026-09-20
NEC Nijmegen vs GO Ahead Eagles · 2026-09-20

Before and after this match

Willem II, previous: Ajax vs Willem II: odds and pick
Willem II, next: Utrecht v Willem II analysis
Fortuna Sittard, previous: Fortuna Sittard – Ajax, 2026-09-12
Fortuna Sittard, next: Fortuna Sittard – Twente, 2026-10-10

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Willem II	38.0%	2.63	+1.9%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71.7%	1.40	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	72.0%	1.39	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	75.0%	1.33	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	60.9%	1.64	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Willem II	38.0%
	Draw	25.0%
	Fortuna Sittard	36.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	71.7%
	Under 2.5	28.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	72.0%
	No	28.0%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	63.1%
	12 (either side)	75.0%
	X2 (draw or away)	62.0%
Handicap -1	Willem II win	21.4%
	Push (exactly one goal)	17.7%
	Loss	60.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	9.3%
	2-1	7.9%
	1-2	7.7%

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard stats

Willem II and Fortuna Sittard recent form

newest first

Willem II	LDLDLL
Fortuna Sittard	LWWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Willem II and Fortuna Sittard going into this match

league record before kick-off

Willem II record

They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Fortuna Sittard record

They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Willem II wins 4Draws 3Fortuna Sittard wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2025-04-27	Fortuna Sittard	Willem II	Eredivisie	1-0
2024-10-20	Willem II	Fortuna Sittard	Eredivisie	0-0
2022-03-13	Fortuna Sittard	Willem II	Eredivisie	1-0
2021-10-22	Willem II	Fortuna Sittard	Eredivisie	1-1
2021-05-16	Willem II	Fortuna Sittard	Eredivisie	2-1
2020-12-05	Fortuna Sittard	Willem II	Eredivisie	3-2
2019-12-21	Willem II	Fortuna Sittard	Eredivisie	0-0
2019-08-18	Fortuna Sittard	Willem II	Eredivisie	2-3
2019-03-30	Willem II	Fortuna Sittard	Eredivisie	3-2
2018-09-22	Fortuna Sittard	Willem II	Eredivisie	4-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Willem II vs Fortuna Sittard odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.9%, draw 25.7%, away 37.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.62	3.80	2.35
1xBet	2.57	3.71	2.61
888Sport	2.63	3.50	2.30
Bet365	2.55	3.70	2.60
BetVictor	2.50	3.70	2.55
Betano	2.62	3.65	2.52
Betfair	2.55	3.60	2.45
Marathonbet	2.49	3.60	2.53
Pinnacle	2.59	3.69	2.66
William Hill	2.50	3.40	2.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.52 ▼ -0.10

X 3.70 ▼ -0.05

2 2.58 ▲ +0.23

24 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-08T08:10:02Z.