Groningen
vs
PEC Zwolle
3 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | Thom Van Bergen | ||
| 28′ | Ibrahim CissokoElias Sörensen | ||
| 43′ | Jorg Schreuders | ||
| 61′ | Dylan MbayoGabriel Reiziger | ||
| 61′ | Thijs OostingSydney van Hooijdonk | ||
| 66′ | Jacob OndrejkaTygo Land | ||
| 66′ | Marco RenteHans Hateboer | ||
| 68′ | Tygo Land | ||
| 79′ | Sherel Floranus | ||
| 79′ | Koen Kostons | ||
| 80′ | Koen KostonsGilles Van Der Wal | ||
| 80′ | Olivier Aertssenjan burger | ||
| 85′ | Brynjólfur Darri WillumssonAlvin Vilhelm Valdemar Nordin | ||
| 85′ | David van der WerffNils Eggens | ||
| 90′ | Mark CsingerJesper Mosselaar |
Match stats
| 17 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 5 | Corners | 6 |
| 7 | Fouls | 11 |
| 1 | Saves | 4 |
| 412 | Accurate passes | 372 |
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Groningen vs PEC Zwolle
| Probability | Groningen | Draw | PEC Zwolle |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 70.4% | 16.8% | 12.9% |
| Market | 62.4% | 20.9% | 16.7% |
| Final | 64.4% | 19.8% | 15.8% |
| Edge | +8.0% | -4.1% | -3.9% |
Why Groningen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.79 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Groningen below the model: +8.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Groningen and PEC Zwolle expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.97
Groningen and PEC Zwolle attack and defence ratings
Groningen
PEC Zwolle
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle: result vs prediction
Groningen 3 – 0 PEC Zwolle
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Groningen | 64.4% | 1.55 | +8.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.7% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Groningen win | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Groningen | 64.4% |
| Draw | 19.8% | |
| PEC Zwolle | 15.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65.6% |
| No | 34.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Groningen win | 50.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 29.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.7% |
| 3-1 | 8.1% | |
| 2-0 | 7.4% |
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle stats
Groningen and PEC Zwolle recent form
| Groningen |
DDLLWW |
| PEC Zwolle |
LDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Groningen and PEC Zwolle going into this match
Groningen record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
PEC Zwolle record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | PEC Zwolle | Groningen | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-23 | Groningen | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 2-2 |
| 2025-05-18 | PEC Zwolle | Groningen | Eredivisie | 2-0 |
| 2024-12-08 | Groningen | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-05 | PEC Zwolle | Groningen | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2022-02-20 | PEC Zwolle | Groningen | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2021-12-03 | Groningen | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 1-1 |
| 2021-05-16 | PEC Zwolle | Groningen | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
| 2021-02-13 | Groningen | PEC Zwolle | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
| 2020-02-01 | PEC Zwolle | Groningen | Eredivisie | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.5%, draw 21.1%, away 17.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.61 | 4.33 | 4.55 |
| 1xBet | 1.55 | 4.49 | 5.78 |
| 888Sport | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.33 |
| Bet365 | 1.50 | 4.75 | 5.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 4.75 | 5.25 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.90 | 5.70 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.50 | 5.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.50 | 4.35 | 5.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.55 | 4.44 | 5.99 |
| SBO | 1.46 | 4.46 | 5.03 |
| Unibet | 1.60 | 4.25 | 4.80 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
23 snapshots recorded, from .