Juventus
vs
Atalanta
2 – 0 Full time
| 17′ | T. Kristensen | ||
| 22′ | F. Conceicao | ||
| 28′ | F. Conceicao | ||
| 43′ | F. Kessie | ||
| 46′ | K. AlajbegovicP. M. Sarr | ||
| 63′ | L. SamardzicG. Raspadori | ||
| 72′ | F. ConceicaoE. Zhegrova | ||
| 72′ | N. GonzalezT. Koopmeiners | ||
| 73′ | F. KessieG. Gaetano | ||
| 73′ | N. KrstovicG. Scamacca | ||
| 77′ | Bremer | ||
| 84′ | J. RoweE. Elmas | ||
| 86′ | W. McKennieN. Woltemade | ||
| 89′ | R. Kolo MuaniL. Kelly |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 52 | Possession % | 48 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 3 |
| 463 | Accurate passes | 428 |
Juventus vs Atalanta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Juventus vs Atalanta
| Probability | Juventus | Draw | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 74.8% | 18.7% | 6.6% |
| Market | 55.7% | 25.2% | 19.1% |
| Final | 60.4% | 23.6% | 16.0% |
| Edge | +19.1% | -6.5% | -12.6% |
Why Juventus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.38 vs 0.63.
- The market prices Juventus below the model: +19.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Juventus and Atalanta expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Juventus and Atalanta attack and defence ratings
Juventus
Atalanta
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Juventus vs Atalanta: result vs prediction
Juventus 2 – 0 Atalanta
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Juventus vs Atalanta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventus | 60.4% | 1.65 | +19.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus win | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventus | 60.4% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| Atalanta | 16.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.8% |
| No | 56.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus win | 53.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 25.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 14.0% |
| 3-0 | 11.1% | |
| 1-0 | 10.3% |
Juventus vs Atalanta stats
Juventus vs Atalanta head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Atalanta | Juventus | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2026-02-05 | Atalanta | Juventus | Coppa Italia | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Juventus | Atalanta | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Atalanta | Juventus | Friendlies Clubs | 1-2 |
| 2025-03-09 | Juventus | Atalanta | Serie A | 0-4 |
| 2025-01-14 | Atalanta | Juventus | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2024-05-15 | Atalanta | Juventus | Coppa Italia | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-10 | Juventus | Atalanta | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2023-10-01 | Atalanta | Juventus | Serie A | 0-0 |
| 2023-08-12 | Juventus | Atalanta | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Juventus vs Atalanta odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.8%, draw 25.1%, away 19.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 3.96 | 5.23 |
| Bet365 | 1.70 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.67 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.72 | 3.90 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 3.83 | 5.16 |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.48 | 4.40 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| winamax_de | 1.58 | 4.00 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .