Cagliari
vs
Juventus
1 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | Weston McKennie | ||
| 20′ | Daniel Maldini | ||
| 45′ | Juan Rodriguez | ||
| 45′ | Weston McKennieKerim Alajbegovic | ||
| 45′ | Francisco ConceicaoEdon Zhegrova | ||
| 45′ | Juan RodriguezAlessandro Deiola | ||
| 60′ | Yanis MassolinAlieu Fadera | ||
| 60′ | Nicolás Iván GonzalezNick Woltemade | ||
| 64′ | Zeki ÇelikAndrea Cambiaso | ||
| 69′ | Daniel MaldiniYukinari Sugawara | ||
| 69′ | Paul MendyM'Bala Nzola | ||
| 81′ | Randal Kolo Muani | ||
| 83′ | Alessandro Deiola | ||
| 84′ | Adam ObertJacopo Fazzini | ||
| 84′ | Douglas Luiz SoaresTeun Koopmeiners | ||
| 90′ | Luciano Spalletti | ||
| 90′ | Fabio Pisacane |
Match stats
| 4 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 10 |
| 28 | Possession % | 72 |
| 1 | Corners | 9 |
| 8 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 9 | Saves | 1 |
| 278 | Accurate passes | 781 |
Cagliari vs Juventus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cagliari vs Juventus
| Probability | Cagliari | Draw | Juventus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.4% | 21.9% | 67.7% |
| Market | 14.2% | 23.9% | 62.0% |
| Final | 13.2% | 23.4% | 63.4% |
| Edge | -0.9% | -0.5% | +1.4% |
Why Juventus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 0.80.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cagliari and Juventus expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Cagliari and Juventus attack and defence ratings
Cagliari
Juventus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cagliari vs Juventus: result vs prediction
Cagliari 1 – 1 Juventus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Cagliari vs Juventus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventus | 63.4% | 1.58 | +1.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus win | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cagliari | 13.2% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Juventus | 63.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% |
| No | 49.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 86.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus win | 45.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 32.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 12.1% |
| 1-1 | 10.5% | |
| 1-2 | 9.6% |
Cagliari vs Juventus stats
Cagliari and Juventus recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cagliari and Juventus going into this match
Cagliari record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Juventus record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Cagliari vs Juventus head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-17 | Cagliari | Juventus | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Juventus | Cagliari | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2025-02-23 | Cagliari | Juventus | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2024-12-17 | Juventus | Cagliari | Coppa Italia | 4-0 |
| 2024-10-06 | Juventus | Cagliari | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-19 | Cagliari | Juventus | Serie A | 2-2 |
| 2023-11-11 | Juventus | Cagliari | Serie A | 2-1 |
| 2022-04-09 | Cagliari | Juventus | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2021-12-21 | Juventus | Cagliari | Serie A | 2-0 |
| 2021-03-14 | Cagliari | Juventus | Serie A | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Cagliari vs Juventus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.2%, draw 23.9%, away 62.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.96 | 4.22 | 1.58 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 3.90 | 1.55 |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 4.10 | 1.50 |
| Betano | 6.50 | 4.00 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 7.00 | 4.00 | 1.53 |
| Dafabet | 6.60 | 4.20 | 1.53 |
| Marathonbet | 6.85 | 4.15 | 1.55 |
| Pinnacle | 7.03 | 3.94 | 1.57 |
| SBO | 6.38 | 3.82 | 1.52 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 3.80 | 1.53 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
50 snapshots recorded, from .