Celta Vigo
vs
Juventus
Garuda Lions Prediction: Juventus
0 β 1 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability
Celta Vigo vs Juventus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celta Vigo vs Juventus
| Probability | Celta Vigo | Draw | Juventus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.2% | 25.1% | 60.8% |
| Market | 27.2% | 27.3% | 45.5% |
| Final | 23.9% | 26.7% | 49.4% |
| Edge | -13.0% | -2.2% | +15.2% |
Why Juventus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.74.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Juventus below the model: +15.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.12, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Celta Vigo vs Juventus match preview
Celta Vigo faces Juventus in the UEFA Europa League on October 15, 2026. The model indicates a 14% probability of a Celta Vigo victory, while Juventus holds a 61% chance of winning. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%. Celta Vigo's expected goals stand at 0.74, contrasting with Juventus's higher expectation of 1.76.
In terms of recent form, Celta Vigo has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches. Conversely, Juventus has performed well, with four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same timeframe. The probabilities suggest a competitive match, with a 46% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celta Vigo and Juventus expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Celta Vigo and Juventus attack and defence ratings
Celta Vigo
Juventus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Celta Vigo vs Juventus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventus | 49.4% | 2.03 | +15.2% | 2.12 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.7% | 1.79 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.1% | 1.31 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.2% | 2.55 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta Vigo | 23.9% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Juventus | 49.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.3% |
| No | 55.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus win | 35.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.1% | |
| Loss | 39.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.4% |
| 0-2 | 12.7% | |
| 1-1 | 11.7% |
Celta Vigo vs Juventus stats
Celta Vigo and Juventus recent form
| Celta Vigo |
WLDDDL |
| Juventus |
WWLDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celta Vigo vs Juventus head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Celta Vigo vs Juventus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.2%, draw 27.3%, away 45.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.56 | 3.58 | 2.12 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.40 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.30 | 3.30 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Dafabet | 3.50 | 3.45 | 2.11 |
| Marathonbet | 3.52 | 3.54 | 2.09 |
| Pinnacle | 3.49 | 3.46 | 2.11 |
| SBO | 3.04 | 2.99 | 2.05 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.30 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .