Celta Vigo
vs
Juventus
1 – 2 Full time
| 18′ | Hugo Alvarez Antunez | ||
| 39′ | Williot Swedberg | ||
| 54′ | Lloyd Kelly | ||
| 58′ | Nick Woltemade | ||
| 62′ | Williot SwedbergCouhaib Driouech | ||
| 64′ | Francisco ConceicaoNicolás Iván Gonzalez | ||
| 64′ | Kerim AlajbegovicRandal Kolo Muani | ||
| 70′ | Lloyd KellyJhon Lucumi | ||
| 70′ | Federico GattiGleison Bremer | ||
| 72′ | Jhon Lucumi | ||
| 75′ | Aleix FebasHugo Burcio | ||
| 75′ | Ferran JutglàIago Aspas | ||
| 82′ | Teun KoopmeinersDouglas Luiz Soares | ||
| 84′ | Ilaix Moriba | ||
| 85′ | Javier Rueda GarcíaÁlvaro Núñez | ||
| 85′ | Hugo Alvarez AntunezHugo González | ||
| 90′ | Randal Kolo Muani |
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 47 | Possession % | 53 |
| 2 | Corners | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 428 | Accurate passes | 482 |
Celta Vigo vs Juventus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Celta Vigo vs Juventus
| Probability | Celta Vigo | Draw | Juventus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.4% | 25.9% | 59.6% |
| Market | 26.8% | 29.3% | 43.8% |
| Final | 23.7% | 28.5% | 47.8% |
| Edge | -3.1% | -0.9% | +4.0% |
Why Juventus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Juventus below our published probability: +4.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Celta Vigo and Juventus expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.42
Celta Vigo and Juventus attack and defence ratings
Celta Vigo
Juventus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Celta Vigo vs Juventus: result vs prediction
Celta Vigo 1 – 2 Juventus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other League Stage - 2 fixtures
- Lyon vs Crystal Palace
- AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Lech Poznan v Bayer Leverkusen — match page
- Red Bull Salzburg v AC Milan — match page
- Sparta Praha vs Lillestrom — team news & stats
- Union St. Gilloise v Real Sociedad — match page
- Celje vs Omonia Nicosia — team news & stats
- Torreense vs Sunderland — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Celta Vigo vs Juventus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Juventus | 47.8% | 2.09 | +4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Celta Vigo | 23.7% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Juventus | 47.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.7% |
| No | 57.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Juventus win | 35.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 39.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 14.2% |
| 0-2 | 12.9% | |
| 1-1 | 12.0% |
Celta Vigo vs Juventus stats
Celta Vigo and Juventus recent form
| Celta Vigo |
DWLDDD |
| Juventus |
DWWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Celta Vigo vs Juventus head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Celta Vigo vs Juventus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.8%, draw 29.3%, away 43.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.62 | 3.34 | 2.19 |
| Bet365 | 3.60 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.25 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.55 | 3.20 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.50 | 3.35 | 2.19 |
| Marathonbet | 3.62 | 3.34 | 2.19 |
| Pinnacle | 3.69 | 3.32 | 2.17 |
| SBO | 3.28 | 3.12 | 2.15 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.10 | 2.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .