Serie A · Full time ·Matchday 5

Venezia vs Lazio

0 – 2 Full time

29′Kike Pérez
51′M. Zaccagni
59′Juan Jesus
60′T. Noslin
73′T. J. HelgasonL. Fanne
73′A. AdamsA. Rrahmani
74′Thierry Correia
76′T. CorreiaR. Sagrado
77′R. FlorianiM. Lazzari
77′K. TaylorA. Gudmundsson
77′T. NoslinA. Pinamonti
84′N. TavaresA. Pedraza
87′J. YeboahT. Fernandez
87′M. ZaccagniG. Isaksen
90′Matias Moreno
90′Joel Schingtienne
90′Toni Fernández

Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, VeniceReferee: S. Sozza

Venezia 30%
Draw 26%
Lazio 44%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 2
49 Possession % 51
7 Corners 2
14 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 0
0 Saves 7
413 Accurate passes 443

Venezia vs Lazio overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Venezia vs Lazio

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVeneziaDrawLazio
Model38.8%26.5%34.8%
Market26.9%26.4%46.6%
Final29.9%26.4%43.7%
Edge+11.8%+0.0%-11.9%

Confidence: Medium

Why Lazio

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Venezia ↓ / Lazio → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 12% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 5%

Venezia and Lazio expected goals

Venezia 1.75
Lazio 1.65

Total expected goals: 3.40

Venezia and Lazio attack and defence ratings

Venezia

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.35 +35%

Lazio

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Venezia vs Lazio: result vs prediction

Venezia 0 – 2 Lazio

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Serie A

Before and after this match

Venezia vs Lazio markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Lazio 43.7% 2.29 -11.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.0% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.7% 1.46 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.6% 1.36 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.2% 1.53 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Venezia29.9%
Draw26.4%
Lazio43.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.0%
Under 2.534.0%
Both teams to scoreYes68.7%
No31.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.3%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)70.1%
Handicap -1Lazio win18.3%
Push (exactly one goal)16.4%
Loss65.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
2-18.4%
1-28.0%

Venezia vs Lazio stats

Venezia and Lazio recent form

newest first
Venezia LLLLLW
Lazio DWWWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Venezia vs Lazio head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Venezia wins 1Draws 3Lazio wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-02-22VeneziaLazioSerie A0-0
2024-08-18LazioVeneziaSerie A3-1
2022-03-14LazioVeneziaSerie A1-0
2021-12-22VeneziaLazioSerie A1-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Venezia vs Lazio odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 27.2%, draw 26.4%, away 46.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.62 3.30 2.62
1xBet 3.69 3.69 2.11
Bet365 3.50 3.50 2.05
BetVictor 3.40 3.70 2.00
Betano 4.00 3.60 1.91
Betfair 4.00 3.60 1.91
Marathonbet 3.60 3.60 2.05
Pinnacle 3.64 3.63 2.09
SBO 3.28 3.18 1.96
Unibet 2.60 3.25 2.70
William Hill 3.40 3.40 2.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.55 ▲ +1.13
X 3.62 ▲ +0.34
2 2.05 ▼ -0.90

26 snapshots recorded, from .