Frosinone
vs
Como
2 – 0 Full time
| 14′ | G. Calo | ||
| 34′ | Y. Couto | ||
| 45′ | G. Kvernadze | ||
| 45′ | G. Kvernadze | ||
| 46′ | L. Da CunhaS. Ricci | ||
| 46′ | A. DouvikasM. Kean | ||
| 46′ | M. BaturinaJ. Rodriguez | ||
| 53′ | I. MonterisiG. Cittadini | ||
| 56′ | G. Bracaglia | ||
| 73′ | L. MillaM. Perrone | ||
| 73′ | A. ValleKaiki | ||
| 79′ | G. CaloM. Cichella | ||
| 80′ | G. KvernadzeA. Zerbin | ||
| 88′ | F. GhedjemisW. Amey | ||
| 88′ | R. SchmidA. El Azzouzi | ||
| 90′ | A. Raimondo | ||
| 90′ | A. Diao |
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 27 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 35 | Possession % | 65 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 6 |
| 2 | Offsides | 2 |
| 7 | Saves | 4 |
| 185 | Accurate passes | 422 |
Frosinone vs Como overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Frosinone vs Como
| Probability | Frosinone | Draw | Como |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.1% | 25.8% | 28.1% |
| Market | 15.8% | 20.8% | 63.4% |
| Final | 23.4% | 22.0% | 54.6% |
| Edge | +30.2% | +5.1% | -35.3% |
Why Como
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Frosinone and Como expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
Frosinone and Como attack and defence ratings
Frosinone
Como
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Frosinone vs Como: result vs prediction
Frosinone 2 – 0 Como
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Frosinone vs Como markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Como | 54.6% | 1.83 | -35.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Frosinone | 23.4% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| Como | 54.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.0% |
| No | 32.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Como win | 13.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 14.3% | |
| Loss | 71.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-2 | 7.0% |
Frosinone vs Como stats
Frosinone vs Como head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-04 | Como | Frosinone | Serie B | 0-2 |
| 2022-09-03 | Frosinone | Como | Serie B | 2-0 |
| 2022-02-16 | Frosinone | Como | Serie B | 1-2 |
| 2021-09-17 | Como | Frosinone | Serie B | 0-2 |
| 2016-08-07 | Frosinone | Como | Coppa Italia | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Frosinone vs Como odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.9%, draw 21.2%, away 62.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 5.25 | 4.00 | 1.59 |
| 1xBet | 6.28 | 4.58 | 1.57 |
| Bet365 | 6.00 | 4.50 | 1.50 |
| BetVictor | 6.00 | 4.75 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 6.30 | 4.70 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 4.60 | 1.50 |
| Marathonbet | 6.10 | 4.45 | 1.52 |
| Pinnacle | 6.09 | 4.62 | 1.52 |
| SBO | 5.22 | 4.39 | 1.45 |
| Unibet | 5.25 | 3.95 | 1.58 |
| William Hill | 5.50 | 4.20 | 1.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
27 snapshots recorded, from .