Atalanta
vs
Bologna
1 – 0 Full time
| 55′ | C. De KetelaereN. Zalewski | ||
| 56′ | G. RaspadoriE. Elmas | ||
| 60′ | J. OdgaardR. Orsolini | ||
| 60′ | R. PiccoliA. Dovbyk | ||
| 68′ | EdersonL. Samardzic | ||
| 68′ | G. ScamaccaN. Krstovic | ||
| 72′ | E. HolmN. Zortea | ||
| 72′ | T. PobegaM. Amondarain | ||
| 73′ | Nikola Krstović | ||
| 78′ | S. KolasinacR. Bellanova | ||
| 80′ | BolognaN. Moro | ||
| 90′ | L. Samardzic |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 16 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 0 | Offsides | 4 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 407 | Accurate passes | 620 |
Atalanta vs Bologna overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Atalanta vs Bologna
| Probability | Atalanta | Draw | Bologna |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39.1% | 30.7% | 30.1% |
| Market | 50.0% | 26.6% | 23.4% |
| Final | 47.3% | 27.7% | 25.1% |
| Edge | -10.8% | +4.1% | +6.7% |
Why Atalanta
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Atalanta and Bologna expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.67
Atalanta and Bologna attack and defence ratings
Atalanta
Bologna
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Atalanta vs Bologna: result vs prediction
Atalanta 1 – 0 Bologna
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
Atalanta vs Bologna markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atalanta | 47.3% | 2.12 | -10.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atalanta | 47.3% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| Bologna | 25.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.5% |
| No | 43.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atalanta win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 61.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 9.4% | |
| 2-1 | 8.8% |
Atalanta vs Bologna stats
Atalanta vs Bologna head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Atalanta | Bologna | Serie A | 0-1 |
| 2026-01-07 | Bologna | Atalanta | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2025-04-13 | Atalanta | Bologna | Serie A | 2-0 |
| 2025-02-04 | Atalanta | Bologna | Coppa Italia | 0-1 |
| 2024-09-28 | Bologna | Atalanta | Serie A | 1-1 |
| 2024-03-03 | Atalanta | Bologna | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2023-12-23 | Bologna | Atalanta | Serie A | 1-0 |
| 2023-04-08 | Atalanta | Bologna | Serie A | 0-2 |
| 2023-01-09 | Bologna | Atalanta | Serie A | 1-2 |
| 2022-03-20 | Bologna | Atalanta | Serie A | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Atalanta vs Bologna odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.0%, draw 26.6%, away 23.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.97 | 3.70 | 4.22 |
| Bet365 | 1.91 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.90 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.95 | 3.65 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.95 | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.92 | 3.65 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.94 | 3.64 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95 | 3.66 | 4.10 |
| SBO | 1.91 | 3.44 | 3.79 |
| Superbet | 1.95 | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| Unibet | 1.86 | 3.45 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| codere_it | 1.78 | 3.85 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .