Hapoel Tel Aviv
vs
Atalanta
0 – 1 Full time
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta
| Probability | Hapoel Tel Aviv | Draw | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.0% | 29.1% | 20.9% |
| Market | 15.3% | 21.6% | 63.1% |
| Final | 24.0% | 23.4% | 52.6% |
| Edge | +34.7% | +7.5% | -42.2% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.32
Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta attack and defence ratings
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Atalanta
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta: result vs prediction
Hapoel Tel Aviv 0 – 1 Atalanta
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Playoff round fixtures
Before and after this match
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atalanta | 52.6% | 1.90 | -42.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 24.0% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| Atalanta | 52.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.6% |
| No | 54.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 47.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atalanta win | 7.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.7% | |
| Loss | 79.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 13.1% | |
| 0-0 | 11.0% |
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta stats
Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta recent form
| Hapoel Tel Aviv |
DLWDWD |
| Atalanta |
WDDLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hapoel Tel Aviv and Atalanta going into this match
Hapoel Tel Aviv record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Atalanta | Hapoel Tel Aviv | UEFA Europa Conference League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Atalanta odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 15.3%, draw 21.6%, away 63.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 6.00 | 4.33 | 1.49 |
| 1xBet | 6.73 | 4.49 | 1.49 |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 4.33 | 1.48 |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 4.40 | 1.44 |
| Betano | 6.20 | 4.65 | 1.53 |
| Betfair | 6.00 | 4.10 | 1.44 |
| Dafabet | 6.20 | 4.60 | 1.49 |
| Marathonbet | 6.50 | 4.33 | 1.44 |
| Pinnacle | 6.10 | 4.50 | 1.48 |
| SBO | 5.32 | 3.80 | 1.43 |
| Superbet | 5.85 | 4.45 | 1.48 |
| Unibet | 6.25 | 4.25 | 1.49 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 4.00 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .