Fenerbahçe
vs
Roma
1 – 1 Full time
| 39′ | Bryan Cristante | ||
| 47′ | Devyne Rensch | ||
| 48′ | Archie Brown | ||
| 51′ | Archie Brown | ||
| 53′ | Manu KonéNiccolò Pisilli | ||
| 62′ | Bartuğ ElmazLevent Mercan | ||
| 69′ | Kerem Aktürkoğlu | ||
| 71′ | Mert Müldür | ||
| 72′ | Kerem AktürkoğluOğuz Aydın | ||
| 72′ | Vedat MuriqiRomelu Lukaku | ||
| 74′ | Gianluca ManciniLeonardo Balerdi | ||
| 74′ | Devyne RenschNahuel Molina | ||
| 74′ | Matias SouleRodrigo Mora | ||
| 84′ | Ismail Yüksek | ||
| 86′ | Bryan Cristante | ||
| 87′ | Donyell MalenMarten de Roon |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 1 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 19 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 368 | Accurate passes | 554 |
Fenerbahçe vs Roma overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fenerbahçe vs Roma
| Probability | Fenerbahçe | Draw | Roma |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.2% | 26.6% | 39.2% |
| Market | 27.0% | 26.3% | 46.6% |
| Final | 28.8% | 26.4% | 44.7% |
| Edge | +7.2% | +0.3% | -7.5% |
Why Roma
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fenerbahçe and Roma expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.98
Fenerbahçe and Roma attack and defence ratings
Fenerbahçe
Roma
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fenerbahçe vs Roma: result vs prediction
Fenerbahçe 1 – 1 Roma
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
- Club Brugge KV v Aston Villa — match page
- AEK Athens FC vs Lask Linz — team news & stats
- Lille vs Real Betis
- Borussia Dortmund v Villarreal — match page
- FC Porto vs Manchester City — team news & stats
- Real Madrid vs Inter
- VfB Stuttgart v Viking — match page
- Barcelona vs Feyenoord — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Fenerbahçe vs Roma markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roma | 44.7% | 2.23 | -7.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahçe | 28.8% |
| Draw | 26.4% | |
| Roma | 44.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.1% |
| No | 38.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roma win | 19.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 60.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 1-2 | 8.7% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Fenerbahçe vs Roma stats
Fenerbahçe and Roma recent form
| Fenerbahçe |
LWWWDL |
| Roma |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fenerbahçe and Roma going into this match
Fenerbahçe record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 69% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fenerbahçe vs Roma head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Fenerbahçe vs Roma odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 28.1%, draw 27.1%, away 44.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| 1xBet | 3.66 | 3.76 | 2.10 |
| 888Sport | 3.25 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.55 | 2.20 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.10 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.45 | 2.25 |
| Marathonbet | 3.60 | 3.70 | 2.07 |
| Pinnacle | 3.65 | 3.69 | 2.07 |
| SBO | 2.98 | 3.18 | 2.08 |
| Superbet | 3.30 | 3.45 | 2.17 |
| Unibet | 3.30 | 3.45 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 3.30 | 3.40 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .