Roma
vs
Slovan Bratislava
Garuda Lions Prediction: Roma
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Roma vs Slovan Bratislava overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Roma vs Slovan Bratislava
| Probability | Roma | Draw | Slovan Bratislava |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.5% | 15.7% | 10.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 73.5% | 15.7% | 10.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Roma
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.86 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Roma vs Slovan Bratislava match preview
Roma will face Slovan Bratislava in the UEFA Champions League on October 20, 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 19:00 UTC. The model indicates a strong likelihood of a Roma victory at 73%, while a draw stands at 16% and Slovan Bratislava at 11%. The expected goals for Roma are significantly higher at 2.86 compared to Slovan Bratislava's 1.08, suggesting a dominant offensive performance from the home side.
In terms of recent form, Roma has been consistent with a record of D-W-D-W-W-W, while Slovan Bratislava has had mixed results, with W-D-L-L-L-W. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Roma, with a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% probability that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Roma and Slovan Bratislava expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.94
Roma and Slovan Bratislava attack and defence ratings
Roma
Slovan Bratislava
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha — match page
- Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund — team news & stats
- Liverpool vs Villarreal
- Manchester City v AEK Athens FC — match page
- Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona — team news & stats
- VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid
- FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven — match page
- Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Roma vs Slovan Bratislava markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roma | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Roma win | 54.2% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roma | 73.5% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| Slovan Bratislava | 10.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% |
| No | 37.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 26.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roma win | 54.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.3% | |
| Loss | 26.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.6% |
| 3-1 | 8.2% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Roma vs Slovan Bratislava stats
Roma and Slovan Bratislava recent form
| Roma |
DWDWWW |
| Slovan Bratislava |
WDLLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Roma and Slovan Bratislava season so far
Slovan Bratislava record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.