UEFA Champions League · Full time ·League Stage - 3

Roma vs Slovan Bratislava

4 – 0 Full time

20′Tigran·Barseghyan
21′Mario Hermoso
39′Nahuel Molina
51′Lorenzo PellegriniMatias Soule
52′Niccolò Pisilli
55′Tigran·BarseghyanAlasana Yirajang
58′Donyell Malen
59′Donyell MalenSantiago Thomas Castro
59′Wesley Vinícius França LimaDevyne Rensch
65′Suleiman Camara
69′Rash Rahim IbrahimAlen Mustafić
69′artur gajdosCristian Martínez
69′Suleiman CamaraAlexej Maroš
75′Cristian Martínez
77′Mario HermosoKonstantinos Koulierakis
77′Marten de RoonGianluca Mancini
82′Sandro CruzKevin Wimmer

Stadio Olimpico, RomeReferee: Sandro Schärer

Roma 81%
Draw 12%
Slovan Bratislava 7%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

26 Shots 1
10 Shots on target 0
73 Possession % 27
8 Corners 1
10 Fouls 10
4 Offsides 1
0 Saves 6
598 Accurate passes 176

Roma vs Slovan Bratislava overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Roma vs Slovan Bratislava

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRomaDrawSlovan Bratislava
Model67.5%18.0%14.6%
Market85.6%10.0%4.4%
Final81.1%12.0%6.9%
Edge-4.5%+2.0%+2.5%

Confidence: Medium · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Roma

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.64 vs 1.21.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Roma ↓ / Slovan Bratisl → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 2 7% 9% 5% 3 7% 8% 4+ 8% 10% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Roma and Slovan Bratislava expected goals

Roma 2.64
Slovan Bratislava 1.21

Total expected goals: 3.85

Roma and Slovan Bratislava attack and defence ratings

Roma

Attack 1.36 +36%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Slovan Bratislava

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.03 +3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Roma vs Slovan Bratislava: result vs prediction

Roma 4 – 0 Slovan Bratislava

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other League Stage - 3 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Roma vs Slovan Bratislava markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Roma 81.1% 1.23 -4.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.0% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.8% 1.52 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 93.1% 1.07 — —
Handicap -1 Roma win 47.2% 2.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Roma81.1%
Draw12.0%
Slovan Bratislava6.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.0%
Under 2.526.0%
Both teams to scoreYes65.8%
No34.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)93.1%
12 (either side)88.0%
X2 (draw or away)18.9%
Handicap -1Roma win47.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.2%
Loss32.7%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.0%
3-17.9%
1-17.4%

Roma vs Slovan Bratislava stats

Roma and Slovan Bratislava recent form

newest first
Roma WLDDWD
Slovan Bratislava WLDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Roma and Slovan Bratislava going into this match

league record before kick-off

Slovan Bratislava record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

Roma vs Slovan Bratislava head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Roma vs Slovan Bratislava odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 85.6%, draw 10.0%, away 4.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.12 10.90 28.00
Bet365 1.11 9.50 21.00
BetVictor 1.08 11.50 23.00
Betano 1.15 9.50 20.00
Betfair 1.13 9.50 20.00
Dafabet 1.12 10.00 21.00
Marathonbet 1.11 9.60 25.00
Pinnacle 1.12 9.59 23.50
SBO 1.12 9.45 16.36
William Hill 1.11 9.50 23.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.12 —
X 9.54 ▲ +0.10
2 22.00 ▲ +3.50

12 snapshots recorded, from .