VfB Stuttgart
vs
Atletico Madrid
1 – 1 Full time
| 17′ | Maximilian Mittelstädt | ||
| 36′ | Jamie Leweling | ||
| 45′ | Jonathan DavidAdemola Lookman | ||
| 47′ | Julián Álvarez | ||
| 52′ | Josha VagnomanLorenz Assignon | ||
| 64′ | Morten Hjulmand | ||
| 69′ | Alejandro Baena RodríguezJohnny Cardoso | ||
| 72′ | Jamie LewelingErmedin Demirović | ||
| 78′ | Julián ÁlvarezObed Vargas | ||
| 78′ | Pablo Barrios RivasRobin Le Normand | ||
| 85′ | Diego Pablo Simeone | ||
| 87′ | Giuliano Simeone BaldiniAlexander Sørloth | ||
| 87′ | Deniz UndavDženan Pejčinović | ||
| 87′ | Chris FührichLeo Sauer |
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 7 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 4 |
| 454 | Accurate passes | 379 |
VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid overview
Garuda Lions analysis: VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid
| Probability | VfB Stuttgart | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 23.3% | 34.2% |
| Market | 29.0% | 24.7% | 46.3% |
| Final | 32.4% | 24.4% | 43.2% |
| Edge | +3.4% | -0.3% | -3.0% |
Why Atletico Madrid
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.66
VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid attack and defence ratings
VfB Stuttgart
Atletico Madrid
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid: result vs prediction
VfB Stuttgart 1 – 1 Atletico Madrid
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Fenerbahçe v Slavia Praha — match page
- Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund — team news & stats
- Liverpool vs Villarreal
- Manchester City v AEK Athens FC — match page
- Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona — team news & stats
- FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven — match page
- Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt — team news & stats
- Roma vs Slovan Bratislava
Before and after this match
VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Atletico Madrid | 43.2% | 2.31 | -3.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.6% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VfB Stuttgart | 32.4% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Atletico Madrid | 43.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.2% |
| No | 28.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Atletico Madrid win | 17.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 65.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.5% |
| 2-1 | 8.3% | |
| 1-2 | 7.4% |
VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid stats
VfB Stuttgart and Atletico Madrid recent form
| VfB Stuttgart |
LWWLLW |
| Atletico Madrid |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.0%, draw 24.7%, away 46.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.38 | 4.00 | 2.13 |
| Bet365 | 3.20 | 3.80 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.20 | 3.90 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.95 | 2.05 |
| Betfair | 3.30 | 3.80 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.25 | 3.85 | 2.11 |
| Marathonbet | 3.30 | 3.90 | 2.07 |
| Pinnacle | 3.50 | 3.84 | 2.08 |
| SBO | 3.08 | 3.71 | 2.06 |
| William Hill | 3.20 | 3.60 | 2.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .