UEFA Champions League · Full time ·League Stage - 3

Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha

2 – 2 Full time

4′Oğuz Aydın
11′Mason Greenwood
15′Lukáš Provod
21′Nathan AkéKojo Peprah Oppong
31′N'Golo Kanté
49′Milan Škriniar
59′Jindřich Trpišovský
60′Wiktor Nowak
62′Danijel SturmMojmír Chytil
62′Tomáš VlčekSamuel Isife
63′Vedat MuriqiRomelu Lukaku
63′Oğuz AydınNene Dorgeles
75′Oskar KubiakToumani Diakite
82′Mason Greenwoodİrfan Can Kahveci
82′Kerem AktürkoğluIsmail Yüksek
85′Lukáš ProvodMichal Sadílek
85′Mubarak SuleimanPavel Kacor
88′Ismail Yüksek
90′Pavel Kacor

Chobani Stadium, IstanbulReferee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea

Fenerbahçe 57%
Draw 23%
Slavia Praha 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

15 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 4
49 Possession % 51
3 Corners 5
12 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 2
2 Saves 2
341 Accurate passes 353

Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFenerbahçeDrawSlavia Praha
Model46.9%27.3%25.8%
Market60.7%21.2%18.0%
Final57.3%22.8%20.0%
Edge-3.4%+1.5%+1.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Fenerbahçe

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 1.13.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Fenerbahçe ↓ / Slavia Praha → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 9% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha expected goals

Fenerbahçe 1.59
Slavia Praha 1.13

Total expected goals: 2.72

Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha attack and defence ratings

Fenerbahçe

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Slavia Praha

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.66 -34%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha: result vs prediction

Fenerbahçe 2 – 2 Slavia Praha

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 3 fixtures

UEFA Champions League

Before and after this match

Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fenerbahçe 57.3% 1.75 -3.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.1% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.1% 1.82 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.0% 1.25 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.1% 1.88 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Fenerbahçe57.3%
Draw22.8%
Slavia Praha20.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.1%
Under 2.548.9%
Both teams to scoreYes55.1%
No44.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.0%
12 (either side)77.2%
X2 (draw or away)42.7%
Handicap -1Fenerbahçe win24.9%
Push (exactly one goal)22.0%
Loss53.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.0%
2-19.4%
1-09.3%

Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha stats

Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha recent form

newest first
Fenerbahçe WLWWDD
Slavia Praha DLWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha going into this match

league record before kick-off

Fenerbahçe record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • 58% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha head-to-head

Last 3 meetings

1Fenerbahçe wins 0Draws 2Slavia Praha wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-11-28Slavia PrahaFenerbahçeUEFA Europa League1-2
2022-02-24Slavia PrahaFenerbahçeUEFA Europa Conference League3-2
2022-02-17FenerbahçeSlavia PrahaUEFA Europa Conference League2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 60.7%, draw 21.2%, away 18.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.61 4.68 5.50
Bet365 1.55 4.50 5.25
BetVictor 1.55 4.50 5.25
Betano 1.62 4.55 5.40
Betfair 1.57 4.50 5.50
Dafabet 1.69 4.20 4.80
Marathonbet 1.57 4.55 5.35
Pinnacle 1.58 4.49 5.45
SBO 1.58 4.24 4.84
William Hill 1.57 4.20 4.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.58 ▼ -0.04
X 4.50 ▲ +0.35
2 5.30 ▲ +0.32

12 snapshots recorded, from .