Fenerbahçe
vs
Slavia Praha
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fenerbahçe
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha
| Probability | Fenerbahçe | Draw | Slavia Praha |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 25.3% | 23.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.8% | 25.3% | 23.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Fenerbahçe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.11.
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha match preview
Fenerbahçe will host Slavia Praha in the UEFA Champions League on October 20, 2026. The model indicates a 51% probability of a Fenerbahçe victory, while a draw is at 25% and Slavia Praha at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Fenerbahçe, with an expected goals tally of 1.80 for Fenerbahçe and 1.18 for Slavia Praha.
Both teams show a propensity for scoring, with a 59% likelihood that both will find the net and a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match. Fenerbahçe's recent form includes two wins, a draw, and two losses, while Slavia Praha has recorded four wins, one loss, and one draw in their last six matches. The confidence grade for these probabilities is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha attack and defence ratings
Fenerbahçe
Slavia Praha
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 3 fixtures
- Sabah FA vs Borussia Dortmund — team news & stats
- Liverpool vs Villarreal
- Manchester City v AEK Athens FC — match page
- Paris Saint Germain vs Barcelona — team news & stats
- VfB Stuttgart vs Atletico Madrid
- FC Porto v PSV Eindhoven — match page
- Napoli vs Bodo/Glimt — team news & stats
- Roma vs Slovan Bratislava
Before and after this match
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahçe | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahçe | 50.8% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Slavia Praha | 23.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% |
| No | 41.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fenerbahçe win | 26.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 51.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.2% |
Fenerbahçe vs Slavia Praha stats
Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha recent form
| Fenerbahçe |
WDDLWW |
| Slavia Praha |
WWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fenerbahçe and Slavia Praha season so far
Fenerbahçe record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 69% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.