Trabzonspor
vs
Gaziantep FK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Trabzonspor
2 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.72 vs 0.71.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK
| Probability | Trabzonspor | Draw | Gaziantep FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 79.0% | 14.5% | 6.6% |
| Market | 66.6% | 19.4% | 14.0% |
| Final | 69.7% | 18.2% | 12.1% |
| Edge | +3.1% | -1.2% | -1.9% |
Why Trabzonspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.72 vs 0.71.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Trabzonspor below our published probability: +3.1 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +1.0% per unit staked (our 69.7% × 1.45 − 1).
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK match preview
Trabzonspor enters the match against Gaziantep FK with a strong probability of victory at 79%. Their recent form shows a dominant streak, with five wins and one loss in their last six matches. The expected goals for Trabzonspor stand at 2.72, suggesting a robust attacking performance, while Gaziantep FK is projected to score only 0.71 goals. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-0, occurring with a 12% likelihood.
In contrast, Gaziantep FK has struggled recently, recording four losses and one draw in their last five matches. Their head-to-head record against Trabzonspor also favors the home side, with Trabzonspor winning once and drawing once in their last two encounters. The probability of over 2.5 goals in the match is 67%, indicating a potential for a high-scoring game.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Trabzonspor and Gaziantep FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.43
Trabzonspor and Gaziantep FK attack and defence ratings
Trabzonspor
Gaziantep FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trabzonspor | 69.7% | 1.44 | +3.1% | 1.45 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.9% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Trabzonspor win | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trabzonspor | 69.7% |
| Draw | 18.2% | |
| Gaziantep FK | 12.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.1% |
| No | 51.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Trabzonspor win | 59.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.9% | |
| Loss | 21.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.0% |
| 3-0 | 10.9% | |
| 2-1 | 8.5% |
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK stats
Trabzonspor and Gaziantep FK recent form
| Trabzonspor |
WWWWWL |
| Gaziantep FK |
LLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Trabzonspor and Gaziantep FK season so far
Trabzonspor record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gaziantep FK record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 63% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Gaziantep FK | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Trabzonspor | Gaziantep FK | Süper Lig | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.6%, draw 19.4%, away 14.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 5.16 | 7.17 |
| Betano | 1.45 | 4.85 | 6.30 |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 4.90 | 6.80 |