Amed
vs
Eyüpspor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Amed
3 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.36 vs 0.73.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Amed vs Eyüpspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Amed vs Eyüpspor
| Probability | Amed | Draw | Eyüpspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 85.8% | 9.9% | 4.2% |
| Market | 72.3% | 17.6% | 10.1% |
| Final | 75.7% | 15.7% | 8.6% |
| Edge | +3.4% | -1.9% | -1.5% |
Why Amed
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.36 vs 0.73.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Amed below our published probability: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.32, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.1% per unit staked (our 75.7% × 1.32 − 1).
Amed vs Eyüpspor match preview
Amed enters this match against Eyüpspor with a strong probability of winning at 86%. Their recent form shows a solid performance with four wins and two draws in their last six matches. The expected goals for Amed stand at 3.35, indicating a potent attacking threat, while Eyüpspor's expected goals are significantly lower at 0.73, reflecting their struggles.
Eyüpspor has been in poor form, losing their last six matches, which contributes to their low probability of victory at just 4%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 3-0 in favor of Amed, with a 77% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match. Both teams have a 50% probability of scoring, suggesting that while Amed is expected to dominate, Eyüpspor may still find opportunities.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Amed and Eyüpspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.09
Amed and Eyüpspor attack and defence ratings
Amed
Eyüpspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Amed vs Eyüpspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Amed | 75.7% | 1.32 | +3.4% | 1.32 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Amed win | 70.2% | 1.42 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Amed | 75.7% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| Eyüpspor | 8.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.4% |
| No | 49.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 24.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Amed win | 70.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.6% | |
| Loss | 14.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 10.6% |
| 2-0 | 9.5% | |
| 4-0 | 8.9% |
Amed vs Eyüpspor stats
Amed and Eyüpspor recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Amed and Eyüpspor season so far
Amed record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 52% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Eyüpspor record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They average 0.5 goals per game at home against 0.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 7 of 8 matches.
Amed vs Eyüpspor head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Amed vs Eyüpspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.3%, draw 17.6%, away 10.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.32 | 5.78 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 4.80 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.32 | 5.40 | 9.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.29 | 5.25 | 9.10 |
| Pinnacle | 1.29 | 5.66 | 9.45 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 9.00 |