Galatasaray
vs
Amed
Garuda Lions Prediction: Galatasaray
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Galatasaray is the favourite, not a value bet.
Galatasaray vs Amed overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Galatasaray vs Amed
| Probability | Galatasaray | Draw | Amed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.0% | 22.5% | 35.5% |
| Market | 66.5% | 19.0% | 14.4% |
| Final | 60.4% | 19.9% | 19.7% |
| Edge | -6.1% | +0.9% | +5.3% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.4% per unit staked (our 60.4% × 1.45 − 1).
Galatasaray vs Amed match preview
Galatasaray faces Amed in an upcoming Süper Lig match, with our model assigning a 43% probability of a home victory for Galatasaray, while Amed holds a 35% chance of winning. The likelihood of a draw stands at 22%. The expected goals for Galatasaray are 2.11, compared to Amed's 1.92, suggesting a competitive encounter.
Recent form shows Galatasaray with four wins and one loss in their last six matches, while Amed has recorded four wins, one draw, and one loss in the same timeframe. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring with an 8% probability. Additionally, there is a high chance of over 2.5 goals at 77%, and both teams scoring at 76%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Galatasaray and Amed expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.89
Galatasaray and Amed attack and defence ratings
Galatasaray
Amed
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Galatasaray vs Amed markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galatasaray | 60.4% | 1.66 | -6.1% | 1.45 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galatasaray | 60.4% |
| Draw | 19.9% | |
| Amed | 19.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.1% |
| No | 25.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Galatasaray win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 58.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.5% |
| 2-1 | 7.8% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Galatasaray vs Amed stats
Galatasaray and Amed recent form
| Galatasaray |
WWWWWL |
| Amed |
WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Galatasaray and Amed season so far
Galatasaray record
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Amed record
- They have won 7 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 4 penalties (75%).
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Galatasaray vs Amed head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2015-01-22 | Galatasaray | Amed | Türkiye Kupası | 0-2 |
| 2014-12-23 | Amed | Galatasaray | Türkiye Kupası | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Galatasaray vs Amed odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.5%, draw 19.0%, away 14.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.45 | 5.15 | 6.73 |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.80 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 4.90 | 6.30 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 5.50 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.44 | 5.00 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.40 | 4.90 | 6.40 |
| Pinnacle | 1.41 | 5.14 | 6.67 |
| SBO | 1.36 | 4.54 | 5.90 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .