Erzurumspor FK
vs
Çorum FK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Çorum FK
0 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK
| Probability | Erzurumspor FK | Draw | Çorum FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.0% | 28.8% | 41.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.0% | 28.8% | 41.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK match preview
Erzurumspor FK faces Çorum FK in a Süper Lig matchup where the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter. Erzurumspor FK has a 30% chance of winning, while Çorum FK is slightly favored at 41%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 0-1, with expected goals of 1.17 for Erzurumspor FK and 1.40 for Çorum FK. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Erzurumspor FK recording three wins in their last six matches and Çorum FK also experiencing a similar pattern.
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 47%, and both teams to score is estimated at 53%. In their last two head-to-head meetings, Erzurumspor FK has secured one win and one draw against Çorum FK, who has yet to claim a victory. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK attack and defence ratings
Erzurumspor FK
Çorum FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Çorum FK | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Erzurumspor FK | 30.0% |
| Draw | 28.8% | |
| Çorum FK | 41.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% |
| No | 46.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Çorum FK win | 20.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.8% |
| 0-1 | 9.5% | |
| 0-0 | 8.9% |
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK stats
Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK recent form
| Erzurumspor FK |
WWDWLW |
| Çorum FK |
WWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Erzurumspor FK and Çorum FK season so far
Erzurumspor FK record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Çorum FK record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Erzurumspor FK vs Çorum FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Çorum FK | Erzurumspor FK | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-28 | Erzurumspor FK | Çorum FK | 1. Lig | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.