Fenerbahçe
vs
Göztepe
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fenerbahçe
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.72 vs 1.59.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe
| Probability | Fenerbahçe | Draw | Göztepe |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.9% | 18.6% | 20.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 60.9% | 18.6% | 20.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Fenerbahçe
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.72 vs 1.59.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe match preview
Fenerbahçe is set to face Göztepe in their upcoming Süper Lig match, with a 61% probability of victory according to our model. The expected goals for Fenerbahçe stand at 2.72, while Göztepe's expected goals are 1.59. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams have shown a tendency to score, with our model indicating an 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 75% likelihood that both teams will find the net.
In terms of recent form, Fenerbahçe has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Göztepe has achieved two wins, two draws, and one loss. Historically, the last two encounters between these teams have resulted in two draws, with neither side securing a win. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fenerbahçe and Göztepe expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.31
Fenerbahçe and Göztepe attack and defence ratings
Fenerbahçe
Göztepe
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahçe | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.3% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.9% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Fenerbahçe win | 41.6% | 2.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fenerbahçe | 60.9% |
| Draw | 18.6% | |
| Göztepe | 20.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 80.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 19.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.9% |
| No | 25.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fenerbahçe win | 41.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 39.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.9% |
| 3-1 | 7.2% | |
| 1-1 | 6.4% |
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe stats
Fenerbahçe and Göztepe recent form
| Fenerbahçe |
DWLWWD |
| Göztepe |
WWDDLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fenerbahçe and Göztepe season so far
Fenerbahçe record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Göztepe record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Fenerbahçe vs Göztepe head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | Fenerbahçe | Göztepe | Süper Lig | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-16 | Göztepe | Fenerbahçe | Süper Lig | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.