Konyaspor
vs
Galatasaray
Garuda Lions Prediction: Galatasaray
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Galatasaray is the favourite, not a value bet.
Konyaspor vs Galatasaray overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Konyaspor vs Galatasaray
| Probability | Konyaspor | Draw | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.4% | 27.7% | 41.9% |
| Market | 19.4% | 22.8% | 57.8% |
| Final | 22.2% | 24.0% | 53.8% |
| Edge | +2.7% | +1.2% | -4.0% |
Why Galatasaray
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.68, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.6% per unit staked (our 53.8% × 1.68 − 1).
Konyaspor vs Galatasaray match preview
Konyaspor faces Galatasaray in their upcoming Süper Lig match, with the probabilities indicating a 22% chance of a Konyaspor win, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 54% chance for Galatasaray to secure victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams have shown varying recent form, with Konyaspor recording one win in their last six matches, while Galatasaray has been more successful with four wins in their last six.
In terms of expected goals, Konyaspor is forecasted to score 1.26, while Galatasaray is expected to net 1.50 goals. The model also suggests a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance that both teams will score during the match. The confidence grade for this matchup stands at C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Konyaspor and Galatasaray expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Konyaspor and Galatasaray attack and defence ratings
Konyaspor
Galatasaray
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Konyaspor vs Galatasaray markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Galatasaray | 53.8% | 1.86 | -4.0% | 1.68 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.8% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konyaspor | 22.2% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Galatasaray | 53.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.7% |
| No | 43.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Galatasaray win | 21.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 58.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 0-1 | 8.4% |
Konyaspor vs Galatasaray stats
Konyaspor and Galatasaray recent form
| Konyaspor |
LDDWLL |
| Galatasaray |
WWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Konyaspor and Galatasaray season so far
Konyaspor record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 8 matches.
Galatasaray record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Konyaspor vs Galatasaray head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-21 | Konyaspor | Galatasaray | Süper Lig | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Galatasaray | Konyaspor | Süper Lig | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Konyaspor vs Galatasaray odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.4%, draw 22.8%, away 57.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.96 | 4.28 | 1.68 |
| Betano | 4.80 | 4.05 | 1.62 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.10 | 1.61 |
| Marathonbet | 4.75 | 4.10 | 1.61 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .