Gençlerbirliği S.K.
vs
Alanyaspor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Alanyaspor
0 – 1 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Alanyaspor is the favourite, not a value bet.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor
| Probability | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Draw | Alanyaspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.3% | 30.5% | 39.2% |
| Market | 34.6% | 28.8% | 36.6% |
| Final | 33.5% | 29.2% | 37.2% |
| Edge | -1.1% | +0.4% | +0.7% |
Why Alanyaspor
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.67, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -0.6% per unit staked (our 37.2% × 2.67 − 1).
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor match preview
Gençlerbirliği S.K. faces Alanyaspor in a Süper Lig clash on November 2, 2026. The probabilities indicate a competitive match, with Alanyaspor at 38%, Gençlerbirliği S.K. at 33%, and a draw at 29%. The expected goals suggest a slight advantage for Alanyaspor, with 1.27 compared to Gençlerbirliği S.K.'s 1.09. Recent form shows Gençlerbirliği S.K. struggling with six consecutive losses, while Alanyaspor has shown some resilience with two draws and two wins in their last five matches.
The most likely scoreline from the model is 0-1, occurring at 11%. Additionally, there is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals, and both teams scoring has a probability of 49%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Alanyaspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.35
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Alanyaspor attack and defence ratings
Gençlerbirliği S.K.
Alanyaspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alanyaspor | 37.2% | 2.69 | +0.7% | 2.67 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | 33.5% |
| Draw | 29.2% | |
| Alanyaspor | 37.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.9% |
| No | 51.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alanyaspor win | 18.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 60.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.8% | |
| 0-1 | 10.7% |
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor stats
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Alanyaspor recent form
| Gençlerbirliği S.K. |
LLDLLL |
| Alanyaspor |
LLDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. and Alanyaspor season so far
Gençlerbirliği S.K. record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Alanyaspor record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-09 | Alanyaspor | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Süper Lig | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Gençlerbirliği S.K. | Alanyaspor | Süper Lig | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Alanyaspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.6%, draw 28.8%, away 36.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.78 | 3.42 | 2.64 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.60 | 3.20 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.67 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.67 | 3.28 | 2.53 |
| Pinnacle | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.67 |
| SBO | 2.57 | 3.01 | 2.45 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
7 snapshots recorded, from .