Göztepe
vs
Çorum FK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Göztepe
2 – 1 Predicted score · 7% model probability
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Göztepe is the favourite, not a value bet.
Göztepe vs Çorum FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Göztepe vs Çorum FK
| Probability | Göztepe | Draw | Çorum FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.8% | 22.0% | 46.2% |
| Market | 43.4% | 25.9% | 30.7% |
| Final | 40.5% | 24.9% | 34.6% |
| Edge | -2.9% | -1.0% | +3.9% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.22, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.1% per unit staked (our 40.5% × 2.22 − 1).
Göztepe vs Çorum FK match preview
Göztepe faces Çorum FK in a Süper Lig matchup on October 25, 2026. Göztepe has a 40% probability of winning, while Çorum FK stands at 35%, with a 25% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Göztepe are 1.79 compared to Çorum FK's 2.16, indicating a potentially competitive encounter. Our model suggests a most likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Göztepe, with a 7% probability.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Göztepe recording two wins, two draws, and two losses in their last six matches. In contrast, Çorum FK has achieved three wins, two losses, and one win in their recent encounters. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 75%, and both teams scoring stands at 74%, suggesting an engaging match ahead.
Göztepe and Çorum FK team news
Göztepe news
- Allan Godoi — injury
- F. Bayir — inactive
- I. Sabra — ankle injury
- L. Gugeshashvili — inactive
- O. Bayrak — inactive
Çorum FK news
- A. Borza — injury
- E. Gurluk — injury
- S. Saatci — inactive
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Göztepe and Çorum FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.95
Göztepe and Çorum FK attack and defence ratings
Göztepe
Çorum FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Göztepe vs Çorum FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Göztepe | 40.5% | 2.47 | -2.9% | 2.22 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.1% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Göztepe | 40.5% |
| Draw | 24.9% | |
| Çorum FK | 34.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 75.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 24.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 74.4% |
| No | 25.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Göztepe win | 16.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.3% | |
| Loss | 68.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.2% |
| 1-2 | 8.1% | |
| 2-2 | 7.2% |
Göztepe vs Çorum FK stats
Göztepe and Çorum FK recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Göztepe and Çorum FK season so far
Göztepe record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.3 at home.
- They have converted 5 of 7 penalties (71%).
Çorum FK record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Göztepe vs Çorum FK head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-01-27 | Çorum FK | Göztepe | 1. Lig | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-26 | Göztepe | Çorum FK | 1. Lig | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Göztepe vs Çorum FK odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.3%, draw 25.9%, away 30.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.77 | 3.16 |
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.20 | 3.65 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.04 |
| Pinnacle | 2.21 | 3.62 | 3.23 |
| SBO | 2.14 | 3.24 | 2.83 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.40 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .