Gaziantep FK
vs
Erzurumspor FK
Garuda Lions Prediction: Erzurumspor FK
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK
| Probability | Gaziantep FK | Draw | Erzurumspor FK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.2% | 33.5% | 38.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 28.2% | 33.5% | 38.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Erzurumspor FK
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK match preview
In the upcoming Süper Lig match between Gaziantep FK and Erzurumspor FK, the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter. Our model gives Gaziantep FK a 28% chance of winning, while Erzurumspor FK has a slightly higher probability at 38%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 34%. The most anticipated scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 14% probability.
Analyzing the expected goals, Gaziantep FK is projected to score 0.90, compared to Erzurumspor FK's 1.09. The chance of both teams finding the net is estimated at 41%, while the probability of over 2.5 goals is at 32%. Recent form shows Gaziantep FK with two losses in their last five matches, while Erzurumspor FK has had a more positive run, including three wins. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gaziantep FK and Erzurumspor FK expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.98
Gaziantep FK and Erzurumspor FK attack and defence ratings
Gaziantep FK
Erzurumspor FK
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Erzurumspor FK | 38.3% | 2.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.2% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.7% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gaziantep FK | 28.2% |
| Draw | 33.5% | |
| Erzurumspor FK | 38.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.5% |
| No | 59.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 71.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Erzurumspor FK win | 16.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 61.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.1% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 0-1 | 13.6% |
Gaziantep FK vs Erzurumspor FK stats
Gaziantep FK and Erzurumspor FK recent form
| Gaziantep FK |
LLDWLW |
| Erzurumspor FK |
WDWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gaziantep FK and Erzurumspor FK season so far
Gaziantep FK record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 60% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Erzurumspor FK record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.