Rizespor
vs
Trabzonspor
Garuda Lions Prediction: Trabzonspor
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.04.
- RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rizespor vs Trabzonspor
| Probability | Rizespor | Draw | Trabzonspor |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.3% | 22.6% | 60.0% |
| Market | 26.8% | 24.5% | 48.7% |
| Final | 24.4% | 24.0% | 51.6% |
| Edge | -2.4% | -0.5% | +2.8% |
Why Trabzonspor
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Trabzonspor below our published probability: +2.8 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 1.98, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +2.1% per unit staked (our 51.6% × 1.98 − 1).
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor match preview
In the upcoming Süper Lig match between Rizespor and Trabzonspor, the model predicts a strong likelihood of a Trabzonspor victory, assigning them a 54% chance to win compared to Rizespor's 23%. The expected goals suggest a competitive match, with Rizespor projected to score 1.28 goals and Trabzonspor 2.03. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a 10% probability.
Both teams are experiencing mixed recent form; Rizespor's last five matches include two wins and three losses, while Trabzonspor has three wins, two losses, and one draw. The model indicates a high probability of over 2.5 goals at 64%, as well as both teams scoring, also at 64%. In their last two encounters, Trabzonspor has secured two victories against Rizespor, reinforcing their favorable position.
Rizespor and Trabzonspor team news
Rizespor news
- K. Alikulov — knee injury
Trabzonspor news
- A. Batagov — knee injury
- N. Saviolo — injury
- O. Cevikkan — tendon injury
- O. Yokuslu — knee injury
- P. Onuachu — muscle injury
- R. Malinovskyi — knee injury
- S. Savic — inactive
Reported injuries and suspensions from our data provider. Confirmed line-ups appear ~40 minutes before kickoff.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rizespor and Trabzonspor expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.10
Rizespor and Trabzonspor attack and defence ratings
Rizespor
Trabzonspor
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Trabzonspor | 51.6% | 1.94 | +2.8% | 1.98 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rizespor | 24.4% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Trabzonspor | 51.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% |
| No | 42.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Trabzonspor win | 37.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 40.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.9% | |
| 0-2 | 9.6% |
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor stats
Rizespor and Trabzonspor recent form
| Rizespor |
LLDWLW |
| Trabzonspor |
WWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rizespor and Trabzonspor season so far
Rizespor record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Trabzonspor record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Trabzonspor | Rizespor | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Rizespor | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-13 | Trabzonspor | Rizespor | Süper Lig | 2-0 |
| 2025-02-26 | Trabzonspor | Rizespor | Türkiye Kupası | 5-2 |
| 2024-11-09 | Rizespor | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig | 3-1 |
| 2024-01-25 | Rizespor | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-26 | Trabzonspor | Rizespor | Süper Lig | 2-3 |
| 2022-03-18 | Rizespor | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig | 3-2 |
| 2021-10-29 | Trabzonspor | Rizespor | Süper Lig | 2-1 |
| 2021-04-10 | Rizespor | Trabzonspor | Süper Lig | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rizespor vs Trabzonspor odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 26.9%, draw 24.7%, away 48.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.63 | 3.98 | 1.98 |
| Bet365 | 4.00 | 3.75 | 1.85 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.90 |
| Betano | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.98 |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.80 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.65 | 3.80 | 1.95 |
| Marathonbet | 3.48 | 3.82 | 1.90 |
| Pinnacle | 3.44 | 3.97 | 1.96 |
| SBO | 3.14 | 3.39 | 1.94 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.60 | 1.91 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .