SC Braga
vs
GIL Vicente
Garuda Lions Prediction: SC Braga
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SC Braga vs GIL Vicente
| Probability | SC Braga | Draw | GIL Vicente |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 33.6% | 30.9% |
| Market | 61.4% | 23.8% | 14.8% |
| Final | 54.9% | 26.2% | 18.9% |
| Edge | -25.9% | +9.8% | +16.1% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.57, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente match preview
SC Braga hosts GIL Vicente in a Primeira Liga clash with SC Braga holding a 54% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 13% chance, while the expected goals for SC Braga are 1.04 compared to GIL Vicente's 0.95. Recent form shows SC Braga with two losses followed by a win, while GIL Vicente has recorded two wins, a draw, and two losses in their last five matches.
In their last ten encounters, SC Braga has secured five victories, GIL Vicente three, and there have been two draws. The probability of a draw stands at 27%, and both teams to score is estimated at 41%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SC Braga and GIL Vicente expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.99
SC Braga and GIL Vicente attack and defence ratings
SC Braga
GIL Vicente
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 2 fixtures
Before and after this match
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Braga | 54.9% | 1.82 | -25.9% | 1.57 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Braga | 54.9% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| GIL Vicente | 18.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 67.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.0% |
| No | 59.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | SC Braga win | 14.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 64.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.0% |
| 1-1 | 14.9% | |
| 1-0 | 12.8% |
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente stats
SC Braga and GIL Vicente recent form
| SC Braga |
LLDWLW |
| GIL Vicente |
WWDLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SC Braga and GIL Vicente season so far
SC Braga record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
GIL Vicente record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | GIL Vicente | SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 2-1 |
| 2025-09-14 | SC Braga | GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2025-02-09 | SC Braga | GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 2-0 |
| 2024-09-01 | GIL Vicente | SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-03-16 | SC Braga | GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 2-1 |
| 2023-10-28 | GIL Vicente | SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 3-3 |
| 2023-04-16 | SC Braga | GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-30 | GIL Vicente | SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2022-03-13 | SC Braga | GIL Vicente | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2021-10-25 | GIL Vicente | SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SC Braga vs GIL Vicente odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.4%, draw 23.8%, away 14.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 4.17 | 6.41 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 3.90 | 6.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.50 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| Betano | 1.57 | 4.10 | 6.80 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 3.90 | 6.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.55 | 4.20 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.51 | 4.00 | 6.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.54 | 4.16 | 6.73 |
| SBO | 1.50 | 3.74 | 5.70 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .