SC Braga
vs
Gent
Garuda Lions Prediction: SC Braga
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
SC Braga vs Gent overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SC Braga vs Gent
| Probability | SC Braga | Draw | Gent |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.3% | 37.0% | 25.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.3% | 37.0% | 25.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
SC Braga vs Gent match preview
SC Braga faces Gent in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with kickoff set for October 22, 2026. According to our model, SC Braga has a 37% probability of winning, while a draw is also at 37%, and Gent sits at 26%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of SC Braga, with a 17% likelihood. The model indicates expected goals of 0.93 for SC Braga and 0.72 for Gent, suggesting a tight contest.
In terms of recent form, SC Braga has recorded two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Gent has been in strong form with five consecutive wins followed by a draw. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 23%, and both teams to score is at 32%, reflecting a cautious expectation for goal-scoring in the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SC Braga and Gent expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.64
SC Braga and Gent attack and defence ratings
SC Braga
Gent
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
SC Braga vs Gent markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Braga | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.8% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Braga | 37.3% |
| Draw | 37.0% | |
| Gent | 25.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.2% |
| No | 67.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | SC Braga win | 14.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 62.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.6% |
| 1-0 | 16.6% | |
| 1-1 | 14.1% |
SC Braga vs Gent stats
SC Braga and Gent recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SC Braga and Gent season so far
SC Braga record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Gent record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.