UEFA Europa Conference League · Full time ·League Stage - 2

SC Braga vs Gent

2 – 0 Full time

-5′Tiago Sá
3′V. Gomez
27′Adrian Leon Barišić
32′Maksim Paskotsi
41′M. BalikwishaL. Benes
61′J. MilosevicM. Dorgeles
63′M. DelorgeL. Lopes
63′H. GooreE. H. Seck
71′Gabriel SilvaG. Martinez
71′GorbyD. E. Tiknaz
76′G. Martinez
82′M. SonkoG. De Meyer
82′M. PaskotsiK. Wilson
89′A. BarisicSergio Barcia
89′R. HortaD. Huseinbasic

Estádio Municipal de Braga, BragaReferee: A. Treimanis

SC Braga 43%
Draw 28%
Gent 29%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

22 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 1
52 Possession % 48
6 Corners 3
11 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
1 Saves 7
475 Accurate passes 425

SC Braga vs Gent overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SC Braga vs Gent

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySC BragaDrawGent
Model24.0%32.1%43.9%
Market49.6%27.1%23.4%
Final43.2%28.3%28.5%
Edge-6.4%+1.2%+5.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SC Braga ↓ / Gent → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 14% 10% 1 9% 14% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

SC Braga and Gent expected goals

SC Braga 0.83
Gent 1.24

Total expected goals: 2.07

SC Braga and Gent attack and defence ratings

SC Braga

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Gent

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.67 -33%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SC Braga vs Gent: result vs prediction

SC Braga 2 – 0 Gent

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other League Stage - 2 fixtures

UEFA Europa Conference League

Before and after this match

SC Braga vs Gent markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SC Braga 43.2% 2.32 -6.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.8% 1.52 — —
Both teams to score No 58.5% 1.71 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.7% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 76.3% 1.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SC Braga43.2%
Draw28.3%
Gent28.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.2%
Under 2.565.8%
Both teams to scoreYes41.5%
No58.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.5%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)56.8%
Handicap -1SC Braga win8.0%
Push (exactly one goal)15.6%
Loss76.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
0-114.2%
0-013.9%

SC Braga vs Gent stats

SC Braga and Gent recent form

newest first
SC Braga LLLDWL
Gent DWWWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SC Braga and Gent going into this match

league record before kick-off

SC Braga record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 6 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).

Gent record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SC Braga vs Gent head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0SC Braga wins 2Draws 0Gent wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2016-11-24GentSC BragaUEFA Europa League2-2
2016-09-15SC BragaGentUEFA Europa League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SC Braga vs Gent odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 49.6%, draw 27.1%, away 23.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.92 3.56 4.25
Bet365 1.90 3.70 3.80
BetVictor 1.87 3.40 4.10
Betano 1.93 3.70 4.25
Betfair 1.91 3.40 4.00
Dafabet 1.96 3.55 4.00
Marathonbet 1.85 3.44 4.10
Pinnacle 1.93 3.58 4.14
SBO 1.86 3.02 3.53
William Hill 1.91 3.30 3.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▲ +0.18
X 3.50 ▼ -0.35
2 4.05 ▼ -0.53

12 snapshots recorded, from .