FC Copenhagen
vs
SC Braga
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Copenhagen
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 18% model probability
FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga
| Probability | FC Copenhagen | Draw | SC Braga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.7% | 27.3% | 12.0% |
| Market | 39.5% | 28.9% | 31.6% |
| Final | 44.8% | 28.5% | 26.7% |
| Edge | +21.2% | -1.6% | -19.6% |
Why FC Copenhagen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.55.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Copenhagen below the model: +21.2 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded β the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga match preview
FC Copenhagen enters the match against SC Braga with a strong recent form, having won their last six matches. The model assigns a 61% probability of a home victory for FC Copenhagen, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0, occurring at an 18% likelihood. The expected goals for FC Copenhagen stand at 1.55, indicating a solid attacking performance.
In contrast, SC Braga has shown mixed results recently, with two wins, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches. The model gives them a 12% chance of winning, while the probabilities for a draw are at 27%. The expected goals for SC Braga are significantly lower at 0.55, suggesting challenges in their offensive output. Overall, the matchup appears to favor FC Copenhagen based on the provided statistics.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Copenhagen and SC Braga expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.10
FC Copenhagen and SC Braga attack and defence ratings
FC Copenhagen
SC Braga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other League Stage - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 44.8% | 2.23 | +21.2% | 2.50 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 65.6% | 1.52 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% | 1.36 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.3% | 2.54 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 44.8% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| SC Braga | 26.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34.4% |
| No | 65.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 33.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.3% | |
| Loss | 39.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 17.9% |
| 2-0 | 14.7% | |
| 0-0 | 13.3% |
FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga stats
FC Copenhagen and SC Braga recent form
| FC Copenhagen |
WWWWWW |
| SC Braga |
DWLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Copenhagen and SC Braga season so far
FC Copenhagen record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
SC Braga record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
FC Copenhagen vs SC Braga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 39.5%, draw 28.9%, away 31.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.42 | 3.26 | 3.17 |
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 3.30 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.30 | 3.30 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.42 | 3.25 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 3.50 | 2.75 |
| Dafabet | 2.39 | 3.40 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.33 | 3.14 | 3.06 |
| Pinnacle | 2.37 | 3.16 | 3.15 |
| SBO | 2.31 | 3.05 | 2.56 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .