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Primeira Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

SC Braga vs Sporting CP

1 – 3 Full time

Estádio Municipal de Braga, BragaReferee: Joao Pinheiro

SC Braga 31%
Draw 30%
Sporting CP 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

SC Braga vs Sporting CP overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SC Braga vs Sporting CP

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySC BragaDrawSporting CP
Model33.5%31.1%35.5%
Market30.5%29.3%40.1%
Final31.3%29.8%39.0%
Edge+2.9%+1.7%-4.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Sporting CP

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SC Braga ↓ / Sporting CP → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 10% 1 10% 15% 8% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 11%

SC Braga and Sporting CP expected goals

SC Braga 1.13
Sporting CP 1.17

Total expected goals: 2.29

SC Braga and Sporting CP attack and defence ratings

SC Braga

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.60 -40%

Sporting CP

Attack 1.60 +60%
Defence 0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SC Braga vs Sporting CP: result vs prediction

SC Braga 1 – 3 Sporting CP

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Primeira Liga

Before and after this match

SC Braga vs Sporting CP markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Sporting CP 39.0% 2.57 -4.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.8% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score No 52.2% 1.92 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 70.2% 1.42 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 64.5% 1.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SC Braga31.3%
Draw29.8%
Sporting CP39.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.2%
Under 2.559.8%
Both teams to scoreYes47.8%
No52.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.0%
12 (either side)70.2%
X2 (draw or away)68.7%
Handicap -1Sporting CP win15.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss64.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.6%
0-011.4%
0-110.5%

SC Braga vs Sporting CP stats

SC Braga and Sporting CP recent form

newest first
SC Braga DWLWWD
Sporting CP DDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SC Braga and Sporting CP going into this match

league record before kick-off

SC Braga record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Sporting CP record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
  • 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SC Braga vs Sporting CP head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

1SC Braga wins 5Draws 4Sporting CP wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07SC BragaSporting CPPrimeira Liga2-2
2025-10-05Sporting CPSC BragaPrimeira Liga1-1
2025-04-07Sporting CPSC BragaPrimeira Liga1-1
2024-11-10SC BragaSporting CPPrimeira Liga2-4
2024-02-11Sporting CPSC BragaPrimeira Liga5-0
2024-01-23SC BragaSporting CPTaça da Liga1-0
2023-09-03SC BragaSporting CPPrimeira Liga1-1
2023-02-01Sporting CPSC BragaPrimeira Liga5-0
2022-12-19Sporting CPSC BragaTaça da Liga5-0
2022-08-07SC BragaSporting CPPrimeira Liga3-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SC Braga vs Sporting CP odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.5%, draw 29.3%, away 40.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.14 3.42 2.38
Bet365 3.10 3.10 2.38
BetVictor 2.90 3.20 2.30
Betano 3.15 3.15 2.42
Betfair 3.10 3.20 2.30
Dafabet 3.05 3.30 2.44
Marathonbet 3.02 3.28 2.28
Pinnacle 3.10 3.27 2.47
SBO 2.86 3.08 2.30
William Hill 2.90 3.10 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.08 ▼ -0.17
X 3.20 ▼ -0.20
2 2.34 ▲ +0.20

14 snapshots recorded, from .