Primeira Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Sporting CP
vs
Arouca
2 – 2 Full time
| 3′ | Gonçalo Inácio | ||
| 17′ | Luis Suárez | ||
| 36′ | Espen van Ee | ||
| 44′ | Javi Sánchez | ||
| 45′ | Mateo FloresGabrijel Rukavina | ||
| 51′ | Jose Fontán | ||
| 54′ | Zeno Debast | ||
| 57′ | Nestory IrankundaEduardo Quaresma | ||
| 59′ | Espen van EePedro Santos | ||
| 61′ | Luis Suárez | ||
| 61′ | Pedro Santos | ||
| 66′ | Rodrigo ZalazarSilas Andersen | ||
| 69′ | Alfonso TrezzaBrian Mansilla | ||
| 80′ | Eduardo Quaresma | ||
| 81′ | Jose Fontán | ||
| 86′ | Javi SánchezDylan Nandín | ||
| 86′ | Iván BarberoFally Mayulu | ||
| 86′ | Issa DoumbiaPedro Lima Barros | ||
| 86′ | Luis SuárezFotis Ioannidis | ||
| 87′ | Dylan Nandín | ||
| 90′ | Brian Mansilla | ||
| 90′ | Maximiliano Araujo | ||
| 90′ | Gonçalo Inácio |
Sporting CP
75%
Draw
15%
Arouca
10%
Match stats
| 10 | Shots | 15 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 421 | Accurate passes | 346 |
Sporting CP vs Arouca overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sporting CP vs Arouca
| Probability | Sporting CP | Draw | Arouca |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.5% | 23.7% | 18.8% |
| Market | 80.6% | 12.5% | 6.9% |
| Final | 74.8% | 15.3% | 9.9% |
| Edge | -23.0% | +11.2% | +11.9% |
Why Sporting CP
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
Sporting CP and Arouca expected goals
Sporting CP
1.96
Arouca
1.05
Total expected goals: 3.01
Sporting CP and Arouca attack and defence ratings
Sporting CP
Attack
1.60 +60%
Defence
0.80 -20%
Arouca
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
0.83 -17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sporting CP vs Arouca: result vs prediction
Sporting CP 2 – 2 Arouca
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sporting CP vs Arouca markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP | 74.8% | 1.34 | -23.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP | 74.8% |
| Draw | 15.3% | |
| Arouca | 9.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 25.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting CP win | 34.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 42.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.5% |
Sporting CP vs Arouca stats
Sporting CP and Arouca recent form
| Sporting CP |
DWWWWW |
| Arouca |
LDWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sporting CP and Arouca going into this match
Sporting CP record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Arouca record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sporting CP vs Arouca head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Sporting CP wins
2Draws
1Arouca wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-24 | Arouca | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-17 | Sporting CP | Arouca | Primeira Liga | 6-0 |
| 2025-02-15 | Sporting CP | Arouca | Primeira Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-09-13 | Arouca | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga | 0-3 |
| 2024-03-10 | Arouca | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga | 0-3 |
| 2023-10-08 | Sporting CP | Arouca | Primeira Liga | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-16 | Sporting CP | Arouca | Primeira Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-01-24 | Arouca | Sporting CP | Taça da Liga | 1-2 |
| 2022-10-29 | Arouca | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga | 1-0 |
| 2022-03-05 | Sporting CP | Arouca | Primeira Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sporting CP vs Arouca odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 80.8%, draw 12.6%, away 6.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.16 | 8.80 | 16.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.17 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.14 | 7.00 | 13.00 |
| Betano | 1.22 | 7.50 | 14.50 |
| Betfair | 1.17 | 7.50 | 15.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.15 | 7.40 | 14.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.18 | 8.17 | 14.59 |
| SBO | 1.18 | 5.61 | 8.68 |
| William Hill | 1.17 | 7.50 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.17 ▼ -0.06
X
7.50 ▲ +1.50
2
13.62 ▲ +2.62
12 snapshots recorded, from .