Primeira Liga · Full time ·Matchday 7

GIL Vicente vs Maritimo

1 – 1 Full time

7′Murilo Souza
45′Vladan DanilovićNilton Varela
54′Santiago García González
56′Rodri Andrade
67′Adrián ButzkeMaurice Boakye
67′Maxime DominguezIsrael Isaac Ayuma
71′Hector HernandezMohamed Kaba
78′Martín TejónMons Rogeani Bassouamina
78′Rodri AndradeIbrahim Akitunde Alani
84′Murilo SouzaJoelson Fernandes
88′Andreas LausenMartin Fernandez
88′Gil Pinto MartinsAntonio Espigares
90′Israel Isaac Ayuma

Estadio Cidade de Barcelos, BarcelosReferee: Bruno Pires Costa

GIL Vicente 46%
Draw 29%
Maritimo 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 3
60 Possession % 40
4 Corners 3
9 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 0
2 Saves 3
451 Accurate passes 277

GIL Vicente vs Maritimo overview

Garuda Lions analysis: GIL Vicente vs Maritimo

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGIL VicenteDrawMaritimo
Model42.3%30.4%27.2%
Market46.9%28.4%24.7%
Final45.8%28.9%25.3%
Edge-4.6%+2.0%+2.6%

Confidence: Low

Why GIL Vicente

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 1.00.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

GIL Vicente ↓ / Maritimo → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 9% 1 12% 14% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

GIL Vicente and Maritimo expected goals

GIL Vicente 1.31
Maritimo 1.00

Total expected goals: 2.32

GIL Vicente and Maritimo attack and defence ratings

GIL Vicente

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Maritimo

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

GIL Vicente vs Maritimo: result vs prediction

GIL Vicente 1 – 1 Maritimo

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Primeira Liga

Before and after this match

GIL Vicente vs Maritimo markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 GIL Vicente 45.8% 2.19 -4.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.2% 1.69 — —
Both teams to score No 52.4% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.7% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2GIL Vicente45.8%
Draw28.9%
Maritimo25.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.8%
Under 2.559.2%
Both teams to scoreYes47.6%
No52.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.7%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)54.2%
Handicap -1GIL Vicente win20.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.3%
Loss57.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.3%
1-011.6%
0-011.2%

GIL Vicente vs Maritimo stats

GIL Vicente and Maritimo recent form

newest first
GIL Vicente LLDWWL
Maritimo LLLDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

GIL Vicente and Maritimo going into this match

league record before kick-off

GIL Vicente record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Maritimo record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

GIL Vicente vs Maritimo head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6GIL Vicente wins 1Draws 3Maritimo wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2023-03-05GIL VicenteMaritimoPrimeira Liga2-0
2022-09-11MaritimoGIL VicentePrimeira Liga1-2
2022-03-20GIL VicenteMaritimoPrimeira Liga1-1
2021-10-31MaritimoGIL VicentePrimeira Liga1-2
2021-05-05MaritimoGIL VicentePrimeira Liga0-1
2021-01-17GIL VicenteMaritimoPrimeira Liga0-1
2020-06-15MaritimoGIL VicentePrimeira Liga2-1
2019-11-03GIL VicenteMaritimoPrimeira Liga2-0
2015-02-08MaritimoGIL VicentePrimeira Liga1-2
2014-08-31GIL VicenteMaritimoPrimeira Liga1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

GIL Vicente vs Maritimo odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 46.9%, draw 28.4%, away 24.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.06 3.42 3.96
Bet365 2.00 3.40 3.80
BetVictor 1.95 3.13 3.80
Betano 2.00 3.30 4.05
Betfair 2.00 3.30 3.90
Marathonbet 1.97 3.28 3.80
Pinnacle 2.06 3.37 3.99
SBO 1.93 2.89 3.50
William Hill 2.00 3.10 3.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.00 ▼ -0.23
X 3.30 —
2 3.80 ▲ +0.24

13 snapshots recorded, from .