Moreirense
vs
Maritimo
3 – 1 Full time
| 8′ | Rodri Andrade | ||
| 11′ | Kiko Bondoso | ||
| 17′ | Manuel Mendonça | ||
| 28′ | Leonardo Vonić | ||
| 45′ | Rodri AndradeMaxime Dominguez | ||
| 45′ | Bryan LimbombeIsrael Isaac Ayuma | ||
| 59′ | Maxime Dominguez | ||
| 61′ | Leonardo VonićAlexandre Parsemain | ||
| 61′ | Kiko BondosoLanderson Costa Araújo | ||
| 69′ | Nile JohnRodrigo Alonso | ||
| 71′ | Vladan DanilovićSamuel Bamba | ||
| 79′ | Romain Correia | ||
| 81′ | Jóbson de Brito GonzagaKevyn Monteiro | ||
| 81′ | Manuel MendonçaChipyoka Songa | ||
| 81′ | Raphael GuzzoMons Rogeani Bassouamina | ||
| 81′ | Martín TejónMaurice Boakye | ||
| 86′ | Alexandre Parsemain | ||
| 90′ | Israel Isaac Ayuma |
Match stats
| 11 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Saves | 1 |
| 267 | Accurate passes | 453 |
Moreirense vs Maritimo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Moreirense vs Maritimo
| Probability | Moreirense | Draw | Maritimo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.7% | 28.7% | 45.6% |
| Market | 34.4% | 30.5% | 35.1% |
| Final | 32.2% | 30.1% | 37.7% |
| Edge | -8.7% | -1.8% | +10.5% |
Why Maritimo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 1.04.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Maritimo below the model: +10.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Moreirense and Maritimo expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.51
Moreirense and Maritimo attack and defence ratings
Moreirense
Maritimo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Moreirense vs Maritimo: result vs prediction
Moreirense 3 – 1 Maritimo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Moreirense vs Maritimo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maritimo | 37.7% | 2.65 | +10.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moreirense | 32.2% |
| Draw | 30.1% | |
| Maritimo | 37.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.1% |
| No | 48.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maritimo win | 23.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 54.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 0-1 | 10.6% | |
| 0-0 | 9.3% |
Moreirense vs Maritimo stats
Moreirense and Maritimo recent form
| Moreirense |
LLWLDD |
| Maritimo |
LLDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Moreirense and Maritimo going into this match
Moreirense record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Maritimo record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Moreirense vs Maritimo head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-06 | Moreirense | Maritimo | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2021-10-01 | Maritimo | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 0-0 |
| 2021-03-07 | Maritimo | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 0-2 |
| 2020-10-25 | Moreirense | Maritimo | Primeira Liga | 2-1 |
| 2020-03-08 | Moreirense | Maritimo | Primeira Liga | 2-0 |
| 2019-09-28 | Maritimo | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 2-1 |
| 2019-03-09 | Maritimo | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 3-2 |
| 2018-10-28 | Moreirense | Maritimo | Primeira Liga | 1-0 |
| 2018-04-15 | Maritimo | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 1-1 |
| 2017-12-02 | Moreirense | Maritimo | Primeira Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Moreirense vs Maritimo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.3%, draw 29.9%, away 35.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.78 | 3.15 | 2.56 |
| 1xBet | 2.82 | 3.22 | 2.73 |
| 888Sport | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.63 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.55 |
| Betano | 2.75 | 3.15 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.75 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Dafabet | 2.80 | 3.25 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.71 | 3.10 | 2.63 |
| Pinnacle | 2.87 | 3.17 | 2.71 |
| SBO | 2.24 | 2.90 | 2.78 |
| Unibet | 2.75 | 3.15 | 2.60 |
| William Hill | 2.70 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .