Moreirense
vs
Benfica
0 – 4 Full time
| 42′ | Gilberto Batista | ||
| 45′ | Alexandre Parsemain | ||
| 45′ | V. Pavlidis | ||
| 52′ | Landerson | ||
| 55′ | A. Schjelderup | ||
| 56′ | LandersonT. Andrade | ||
| 56′ | A. Duville-ParsemainYan Maranhao | ||
| 59′ | G. Prestianni | ||
| 66′ | D. PintoL. Santos | ||
| 66′ | N. JohnK. Bondoso | ||
| 66′ | V. PavlidisJ. Duran | ||
| 67′ | L. BarreiroF. Aursnes | ||
| 67′ | G. PrestianniD. Lukebakio | ||
| 72′ | F. Aursnes | ||
| 75′ | João Palhinha | ||
| 78′ | S. DahlS. El Karouani | ||
| 79′ | MaracasKevyn Monteiro | ||
| 86′ | Rafa SilvaG. Sudakov | ||
| 87′ | Mateja Stjepanović | ||
| 90′ | Jhon Durán |
Match stats
| 8 | Shots | 21 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 26 | Possession % | 74 |
| 3 | Corners | 7 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 169 | Accurate passes | 629 |
Moreirense vs Benfica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Moreirense vs Benfica
| Probability | Moreirense | Draw | Benfica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 7.5% | 14.3% | 78.2% |
| Market | 6.2% | 12.0% | 81.8% |
| Final | 6.5% | 12.6% | 80.9% |
| Edge | +1.3% | +2.3% | -3.6% |
Why Benfica
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.84 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Moreirense and Benfica expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.67
Moreirense and Benfica attack and defence ratings
Moreirense
Benfica
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Moreirense vs Benfica: result vs prediction
Moreirense 0 – 4 Benfica
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Moreirense vs Benfica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Benfica | 80.9% | 1.24 | -3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Benfica win | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Moreirense | 6.5% |
| Draw | 12.6% | |
| Benfica | 80.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.6% |
| No | 46.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 19.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 93.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Benfica win | 59.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 21.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 10.3% |
| 0-3 | 9.8% | |
| 1-2 | 8.5% |
Moreirense vs Benfica stats
Moreirense and Benfica recent form
| Moreirense |
LWLDDL |
| Benfica |
WWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Moreirense vs Benfica head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Benfica | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 4-1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Moreirense | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 0-4 |
| 2025-02-08 | Benfica | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 3-2 |
| 2024-08-30 | Moreirense | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 1-1 |
| 2024-04-14 | Benfica | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 3-0 |
| 2023-12-03 | Moreirense | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 0-0 |
| 2022-12-17 | Moreirense | Benfica | Taça da Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-01-15 | Benfica | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 1-1 |
| 2021-08-07 | Moreirense | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 1-2 |
| 2021-02-14 | Moreirense | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Moreirense vs Benfica odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 6.2%, draw 12.0%, away 81.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 16.50 | 7.60 | 1.14 |
| 1xBet | 15.50 | 9.10 | 1.16 |
| 888Sport | 13.00 | 7.50 | 1.15 |
| Bet365 | 12.00 | 8.00 | 1.17 |
| BetVictor | 17.00 | 7.00 | 1.12 |
| Betano | 16.50 | 7.90 | 1.19 |
| Betfair | 19.00 | 8.00 | 1.13 |
| Dafabet | 16.00 | 8.40 | 1.16 |
| Marathonbet | 13.50 | 7.80 | 1.15 |
| Pinnacle | 16.66 | 8.70 | 1.16 |
| SBO | 12.04 | 6.76 | 1.15 |
| Superbet | 14.00 | 8.00 | 1.16 |
| Unibet | 15.00 | 7.00 | 1.17 |
| William Hill | 13.00 | 7.50 | 1.15 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .