Estoril
vs
Rio Ave
0 – 2 Full time
Estoril vs Rio Ave overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Estoril vs Rio Ave
| Probability | Estoril | Draw | Rio Ave |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.4% | 33.8% | 30.8% |
| Market | 46.2% | 27.5% | 26.3% |
| Final | 43.5% | 29.1% | 27.4% |
| Edge | -10.8% | +6.3% | +4.5% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Estoril and Rio Ave expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.97
Estoril and Rio Ave attack and defence ratings
Estoril
Rio Ave
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Estoril vs Rio Ave: result vs prediction
Estoril 0 – 2 Rio Ave
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Estoril vs Rio Ave markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estoril | 43.5% | 2.30 | -10.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estoril | 43.5% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Rio Ave | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.6% |
| No | 59.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Estoril win | 14.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 64.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.3% |
| 1-1 | 14.9% | |
| 1-0 | 13.0% |
Estoril vs Rio Ave stats
Estoril vs Rio Ave head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Estoril | Rio Ave | Primeira Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-01 | Rio Ave | Estoril | Primeira Liga | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Estoril vs Rio Ave odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.2%, draw 27.5%, away 26.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.90 | 3.55 | 3.80 |
| 1xBet | 2.11 | 3.58 | 3.60 |
| 888Sport | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.45 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Dafabet | 2.07 | 3.50 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.03 | 3.44 | 3.46 |
| Pinnacle | 2.10 | 3.55 | 3.61 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.18 | 3.23 |
| Superbet | 2.05 | 3.50 | 3.60 |
| Unibet | 1.91 | 3.55 | 3.85 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .