Rio Ave
vs
Sporting CP
0 – 4 Full time
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rio Ave vs Sporting CP
| Probability | Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting CP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.0% | 26.6% | 50.5% |
| Market | 11.7% | 17.0% | 71.3% |
| Final | 14.5% | 19.4% | 66.1% |
| Edge | +11.3% | +9.6% | -20.9% |
Why Sporting CP
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rio Ave and Sporting CP expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.74
Rio Ave and Sporting CP attack and defence ratings
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP: result vs prediction
Rio Ave 0 – 4 Sporting CP
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sporting CP | 66.1% | 1.51 | -20.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rio Ave | 14.5% |
| Draw | 19.4% | |
| Sporting CP | 66.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 48.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54.3% |
| No | 45.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 33.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sporting CP win | 27.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.7% | |
| Loss | 49.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 0-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-2 | 9.6% |
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP stats
Rio Ave and Sporting CP recent form
| Rio Ave |
WLLDLD |
| Sporting CP |
WWDLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-11 | Rio Ave | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga | 1-4 |
| 2025-12-28 | Sporting CP | Rio Ave | Primeira Liga | 4-0 |
| 2025-04-22 | Rio Ave | Sporting CP | Taça de Portugal | 1-2 |
| 2025-04-03 | Sporting CP | Rio Ave | Taça de Portugal | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-18 | Rio Ave | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga | 0-3 |
| 2024-08-09 | Sporting CP | Rio Ave | Primeira Liga | 3-1 |
| 2024-02-25 | Rio Ave | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga | 3-3 |
| 2023-09-25 | Sporting CP | Rio Ave | Primeira Liga | 2-0 |
| 2023-02-06 | Rio Ave | Sporting CP | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2022-12-07 | Rio Ave | Sporting CP | Taça da Liga | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rio Ave vs Sporting CP odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.7%, draw 17.0%, away 71.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 8.90 | 5.10 | 1.31 |
| 1xBet | 8.85 | 5.79 | 1.34 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 5.50 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Betano | 7.70 | 5.30 | 1.37 |
| Betfair | 8.50 | 5.50 | 1.29 |
| Dafabet | 8.20 | 5.80 | 1.35 |
| Marathonbet | 8.20 | 5.35 | 1.31 |
| Pinnacle | 7.87 | 5.59 | 1.33 |
| SBO | 6.09 | 4.68 | 1.31 |
| Superbet | 7.60 | 5.60 | 1.34 |
| Unibet | 9.00 | 5.50 | 1.30 |
| William Hill | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .