Academico Viseu
vs
FC Porto
0 – 3 Full time
Academico Viseu vs FC Porto overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Academico Viseu vs FC Porto
| Probability | Academico Viseu | Draw | FC Porto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.5% | 34.7% | 37.8% |
| Market | 10.6% | 18.8% | 70.6% |
| Final | 14.8% | 22.8% | 62.4% |
| Edge | +16.9% | +15.9% | -32.9% |
Why FC Porto
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Academico Viseu and FC Porto expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.86
Academico Viseu and FC Porto attack and defence ratings
Academico Viseu
FC Porto
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Academico Viseu vs FC Porto: result vs prediction
Academico Viseu 0 – 3 FC Porto
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
Before and after this match
Academico Viseu vs FC Porto markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Porto | 62.4% | 1.60 | -32.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Academico Viseu | 14.8% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| FC Porto | 62.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 71.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.6% |
| No | 62.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 37.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Porto win | 15.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 62.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.9% |
| 0-1 | 14.7% | |
| 1-1 | 14.7% |
Academico Viseu vs FC Porto stats
Academico Viseu and FC Porto recent form
| Academico Viseu |
DLDDWD |
| FC Porto |
WWWWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Academico Viseu vs FC Porto head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-02-08 | Academico Viseu | FC Porto | Taça de Portugal | 0-1 |
| 2023-01-25 | FC Porto | Academico Viseu | Taça da Liga | 3-0 |
| 2021-07-17 | FC Porto | Academico Viseu | Friendlies Clubs | 3-2 |
| 2020-02-12 | FC Porto | Academico Viseu | Taça de Portugal | 3-0 |
| 2020-02-04 | Academico Viseu | FC Porto | Taça de Portugal | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Academico Viseu vs FC Porto odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 10.6%, draw 18.8%, away 70.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 10.00 | 4.80 | 1.32 |
| 1xBet | 9.60 | 5.34 | 1.35 |
| Bet365 | 9.00 | 4.75 | 1.33 |
| BetVictor | 8.50 | 4.75 | 1.30 |
| Betano | 9.00 | 5.00 | 1.35 |
| Betfair | 9.50 | 5.00 | 1.29 |
| Dafabet | 9.00 | 5.20 | 1.35 |
| Marathonbet | 8.90 | 4.95 | 1.32 |
| Pinnacle | 8.81 | 5.14 | 1.34 |
| SBO | 7.34 | 4.35 | 1.29 |
| Superbet | 8.40 | 5.15 | 1.35 |
| Unibet | 8.50 | 5.00 | 1.34 |
| William Hill | 8.50 | 4.80 | 1.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .