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Primeira Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

GIL Vicente vs Academico Viseu

0 – 1 Full time

4′Joao Guilherme
24′WeversonD. Moreira
46′Ze CarlosA. Lausen
46′G. Pinto MartinsM. Kaba
56′Robinho
60′A. ZamoraL. Gohi
63′R. EsgaioJ. Silva
67′RobinhoT. Domingos
67′C. KahramanA. Mestanza
71′J. FernandesT. Toure
74′Gu CostaM. Brau
74′Joao GuilhermeN. Mortimer
81′Tomás Domingos

Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, BarcelosReferee: Pedro Ramalho, Portugal

GIL Vicente 40%
Draw 32%
Academico Viseu 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

33 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 1
61 Possession % 39
7 Corners 1
11 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
0 Saves 7
508 Accurate passes 310

GIL Vicente vs Academico Viseu overview

Garuda Lions analysis: GIL Vicente vs Academico Viseu

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGIL VicenteDrawAcademico Viseu
Model38.3%32.7%29.1%
Market40.4%31.6%27.9%
Final39.9%31.9%28.2%
Edge-2.2%+1.0%+1.1%

Confidence: Low

Why GIL Vicente

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

GIL Vicente ↓ / Academico Vise → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 10% 1 13% 15% 2 8% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 34%
No goals 14%

GIL Vicente and Academico Viseu expected goals

GIL Vicente 1.13
Academico Viseu 0.95

Total expected goals: 2.08

GIL Vicente and Academico Viseu attack and defence ratings

GIL Vicente

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Academico Viseu

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

GIL Vicente vs Academico Viseu: result vs prediction

GIL Vicente 0 – 1 Academico Viseu

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Primeira Liga

Before and after this match

GIL Vicente vs Academico Viseu markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 GIL Vicente 39.9% 2.51 -2.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.6% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score No 57.2% 1.75 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.5% 1.63 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2GIL Vicente39.9%
Draw31.9%
Academico Viseu28.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.4%
Under 2.565.6%
Both teams to scoreYes42.8%
No57.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.8%
12 (either side)68.1%
X2 (draw or away)60.1%
Handicap -1GIL Vicente win16.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss61.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.9%
1-012.8%

GIL Vicente vs Academico Viseu stats

GIL Vicente and Academico Viseu recent form

newest first
GIL Vicente DWWLLD
Academico Viseu LDLDDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

GIL Vicente vs Academico Viseu head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2GIL Vicente wins 2Draws 2Academico Viseu wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-18Academico ViseuGIL VicenteTaça de Portugal2-1
2021-01-14GIL VicenteAcademico ViseuTaça de Portugal3-2
2018-04-29Academico ViseuGIL VicenteSegunda Liga1-0
2017-12-16GIL VicenteAcademico ViseuSegunda Liga0-0
2017-02-05Academico ViseuGIL VicenteSegunda Liga1-2
2016-08-24GIL VicenteAcademico ViseuSegunda Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

GIL Vicente vs Academico Viseu odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.5%, draw 28.9%, away 25.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.90 3.40 4.00
1xBet 2.39 3.06 3.48
Bet365 2.35 2.88 3.40
BetVictor 2.25 3.00 3.20
Betano 1.95 3.40 4.10
Betfair 1.91 3.50 4.00
Dafabet 1.95 3.50 4.20
Marathonbet 2.31 2.95 3.34
Pinnacle 2.39 3.07 3.46
SBO 1.87 3.06 3.47
Superbet 1.95 3.45 4.10
Unibet 1.81 3.50 4.40
William Hill 2.30 2.90 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.33 ▲ +0.60
X 2.98 ▼ -0.77
2 3.37 ▼ -1.18

13 snapshots recorded, from .