Primeira Liga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Famalicao vs GIL Vicente

0 – 0 Full time

36′Héctor Hernández
37′Facundo Cáseres
46′F. CaseresZe Carlos
59′Ricardo Esgaio
64′J. FernandesMurilo de Souza
64′M. FernandezM. Kaba
68′Weverson
69′Gil DiasR. Beney
70′Finn van Breemen
76′G. Pinto MartinsT. Toure
77′Paulo Moreira
77′Pedro BondoL. Meyer
77′M. De AmorimO. Aranda
87′SorrisoM. Jangeal
87′G. KoutsiasU. Abubakar
88′H. HernandezA. Lausen

Estádio Municipal de Famalicão, Vila Nova de FamalicaoReferee: David Rafael Oliveira da Silva, Portugal

Famalicao 44%
Draw 30%
GIL Vicente 26%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

7 Shots 7
1 Shots on target 1
56 Possession % 44
6 Corners 3
10 Fouls 19
0 Offsides 1
1 Saves 1
416 Accurate passes 319

Famalicao vs GIL Vicente overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Famalicao vs GIL Vicente

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFamalicaoDrawGIL Vicente
Model42.3%33.0%24.7%
Market45.1%28.9%26.1%
Final44.4%29.9%25.7%
Edge-2.8%+4.2%-1.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Famalicao

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.83.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Famalicao ↓ / GIL Vicente → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 10% 1 15% 15% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Famalicao and GIL Vicente expected goals

Famalicao 1.15
GIL Vicente 0.83

Total expected goals: 1.98

Famalicao and GIL Vicente attack and defence ratings

Famalicao

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.76 -24%

GIL Vicente

Attack 0.91 -9%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Famalicao vs GIL Vicente: result vs prediction

Famalicao 0 – 0 GIL Vicente

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Primeira Liga

Before and after this match

Famalicao vs GIL Vicente markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Famalicao 44.4% 2.25 -2.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.1% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score No 60.2% 1.66 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.3% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Famalicao44.4%
Draw29.9%
GIL Vicente25.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.9%
Under 2.568.1%
Both teams to scoreYes39.8%
No60.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.3%
12 (either side)70.1%
X2 (draw or away)55.6%
Handicap -1Famalicao win18.3%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss58.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.1%
1-014.6%
1-114.5%

Famalicao vs GIL Vicente stats

Famalicao and GIL Vicente recent form

newest first
Famalicao LLDWDD
GIL Vicente WWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Famalicao vs GIL Vicente head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Famalicao wins 1Draws 1GIL Vicente wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-01GIL VicenteFamalicaoPrimeira Liga5-0
2025-08-24FamalicaoGIL VicentePrimeira Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Famalicao vs GIL Vicente odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 45.1%, draw 28.9%, away 26.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.96 3.25 3.95
1xBet 2.16 3.32 3.72
Bet365 1.95 3.25 4.00
BetVictor 2.05 3.13 3.50
Betano 2.25 3.25 3.35
Betfair 2.10 3.30 3.60
Dafabet 2.08 3.30 3.90
Marathonbet 2.08 3.20 3.58
Pinnacle 2.18 3.20 3.57
Unibet 1.95 3.30 4.00
William Hill 2.10 3.10 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.08 ▲ +0.13
X 3.25 ▼ -0.01
2 3.60 ▼ -0.40

8 snapshots recorded, from .