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Primeira Liga · Full time ·Matchday 4

SC Braga vs Vitória SC

1 – 0 Full time

4′Óscar Rivas
37′Demir Ege Tıknaz
53′Tony Strata
54′SC Braga
61′G. NogueiraB. Mukendi
61′M. NogueiraO. Camara
65′P. VictorJ. Milosevic
67′Vítor Carvalho
72′M. DorgelesD. Rodrigues
72′D. E. TiknazT. Marques
74′Gustavo Silva
77′A. NdoyeP. Ouotro
77′GustavoV. Andersson
79′D. Rodrigues
84′SamuT. Arcanjo
86′Gabriel SilvaA. Bajrami
86′TravassosF. Navarro

Estádio Municipal de Braga, BragaReferee: Andre Filipe Domingues Narciso, Portugal

SC Braga 54%
Draw 26%
Vitória SC 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

9 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 2
54 Possession % 46
2 Corners 2
11 Fouls 18
5 Offsides 1
2 Saves 3
397 Accurate passes 304

SC Braga vs Vitória SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SC Braga vs Vitória SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySC BragaDrawVitória SC
Model60.3%25.9%13.8%
Market52.3%26.7%21.0%
Final54.3%26.5%19.2%
Edge+8.0%-0.8%-7.2%

Confidence: Low

Why SC Braga

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 0.69.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices SC Braga below the model: +8.0 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SC Braga ↓ / Vitória SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 15% 12% 2 13% 9% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 10%

SC Braga and Vitória SC expected goals

SC Braga 1.68
Vitória SC 0.69

Total expected goals: 2.36

SC Braga and Vitória SC attack and defence ratings

SC Braga

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.68 -32%

Vitória SC

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SC Braga vs Vitória SC: result vs prediction

SC Braga 1 – 0 Vitória SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

Primeira Liga

Before and after this match

SC Braga vs Vitória SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SC Braga 54.3% 1.84 +8.0% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.9% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 58.6% 1.71 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.8% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 39.7% 2.52 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SC Braga54.3%
Draw26.5%
Vitória SC19.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.1%
Under 2.557.9%
Both teams to scoreYes41.4%
No58.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.8%
12 (either side)73.5%
X2 (draw or away)45.7%
Handicap -1SC Braga win34.6%
Push (exactly one goal)25.7%
Loss39.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.7%
2-013.3%
1-111.9%

SC Braga vs Vitória SC stats

SC Braga and Vitória SC recent form

newest first
SC Braga DWDDWW
Vitória SC WLLLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SC Braga vs Vitória SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4SC Braga wins 3Draws 3Vitória SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-21SC BragaVitória SCPrimeira Liga3-2
2026-01-10Vitória SCSC BragaTaça da Liga2-1
2025-09-20Vitória SCSC BragaPrimeira Liga1-1
2025-02-16Vitória SCSC BragaPrimeira Liga0-0
2024-10-31SC BragaVitória SCTaça da Liga2-1
2024-09-15SC BragaVitória SCPrimeira Liga0-2
2024-05-11Vitória SCSC BragaPrimeira Liga2-3
2024-01-06SC BragaVitória SCPrimeira Liga1-1
2023-02-27Vitória SCSC BragaPrimeira Liga2-1
2023-01-11SC BragaVitória SCTaça de Portugal3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SC Braga vs Vitória SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 52.3%, draw 26.7%, away 21.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.75 3.55 4.65
1xBet 1.87 3.64 4.50
Bet365 1.83 3.50 4.50
BetVictor 1.75 3.50 4.20
Betano 1.80 3.75 4.90
Betfair 1.85 3.50 4.40
Dafabet 1.81 3.70 4.60
Marathonbet 1.81 3.45 4.35
Pinnacle 1.86 3.55 4.61
SBO 1.79 3.36 4.00
Superbet 1.83 3.60 4.40
Unibet 1.77 3.60 4.50
William Hill 1.80 3.40 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.81 ▲ +0.08
X 3.55 ▼ -0.10
2 4.50 ▼ -0.40

11 snapshots recorded, from .