FC Porto
vs
Moreirense
2 – 1 Full time
| 20′ | D. Pinto | ||
| 37′ | J. Bednarek | ||
| 44′ | João Veloso | ||
| 58′ | William Gomes | ||
| 63′ | Francisco Moura | ||
| 64′ | F. MouraM. Fernandes | ||
| 64′ | G. VeigaHwang In-Beom | ||
| 67′ | M. MendoncaRodri | ||
| 67′ | N. JohnM. Stjepanovic | ||
| 68′ | Dinis Pinto | ||
| 75′ | Andre SilvaS. Gimenez | ||
| 75′ | William GomesB. Sainz | ||
| 75′ | J. VelosoK. Bondoso | ||
| 75′ | LandersonT. Andrade | ||
| 79′ | A. Duville-ParsemainYan Maranhao | ||
| 90′ | Guilherme Liberato | ||
| 90′ | A. CostaN. Perez | ||
| 90′ | V. FroholdtS. Fofana | ||
| 90′ | D. PintoL. Santos |
Match stats
| 23 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 70 | Possession % | 30 |
| 9 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 4 | Offsides | 1 |
| 1 | Saves | 7 |
| 486 | Accurate passes | 174 |
FC Porto vs Moreirense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Porto vs Moreirense
| Probability | FC Porto | Draw | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 75.8% | 18.4% | 5.8% |
| Market | 83.3% | 12.0% | 4.7% |
| Final | 81.4% | 13.6% | 4.9% |
| Edge | -7.5% | +6.4% | +1.1% |
Why FC Porto
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Porto and Moreirense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
FC Porto and Moreirense attack and defence ratings
FC Porto
Moreirense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Porto vs Moreirense: result vs prediction
FC Porto 2 – 1 Moreirense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Porto vs Moreirense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Porto | 81.4% | 1.23 | -7.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.1% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Porto win | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Porto | 81.4% |
| Draw | 13.6% | |
| Moreirense | 4.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.1% |
| No | 67.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 95.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 86.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 18.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Porto win | 51.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 24.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 17.4% |
| 1-0 | 15.7% | |
| 3-0 | 12.2% |
FC Porto vs Moreirense stats
FC Porto and Moreirense recent form
| FC Porto |
WWWWWL |
| Moreirense |
WLDDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Porto vs Moreirense head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | FC Porto | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Moreirense | FC Porto | Primeira Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-05-02 | FC Porto | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 3-1 |
| 2024-12-21 | Moreirense | FC Porto | Primeira Liga | 0-3 |
| 2024-11-24 | Moreirense | FC Porto | Taça de Portugal | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-31 | FC Porto | Moreirense | Taça da Liga | 2-0 |
| 2024-01-20 | FC Porto | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 5-0 |
| 2023-08-14 | Moreirense | FC Porto | Primeira Liga | 1-2 |
| 2022-02-20 | Moreirense | FC Porto | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2021-09-19 | FC Porto | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Porto vs Moreirense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 83.3%, draw 12.0%, away 4.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.17 | 6.00 | 23.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.13 | 9.75 | 24.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.12 | 7.00 | 21.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.11 | 7.00 | 19.00 |
| Betano | 1.17 | 7.90 | 23.00 |
| Betfair | 1.13 | 8.50 | 21.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.15 | 8.20 | 22.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.12 | 8.00 | 18.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.14 | 8.75 | 20.34 |
| SBO | 1.16 | 5.51 | 10.12 |
| Superbet | 1.19 | 6.80 | 14.00 |
| Unibet | 1.14 | 7.50 | 18.00 |
| William Hill | 1.12 | 8.00 | 19.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .