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Primeira Liga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Santa Clara vs Rio Ave

4 – 0 Full time

3′Brenner
46′M. VrousaiP. Amaral
46′Diogo BezerraM. Sellouki
46′D. SpikicS. Clemmensen
47′T. Ribeiro
52′Vinicius Lopes
64′TambleR. Galcik
66′T. RibeiroDaniel Borges
66′BrennerSorriso
76′Vinicius LopesVasconcelos
76′G. PacienciaFernando
77′A. NtoiJ. Tome
83′Tamás Nikitscher
84′Daniel Borges
85′J. TavaresF. Medeiros
90′Fernando

Estadio de São Miguel, Ponta DelgadaReferee: Anzhony Rodrigues, Portugal

Santa Clara 53%
Draw 28%
Rio Ave 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 3
59 Possession % 41
8 Corners 2
12 Fouls 9
3 Saves 2
447 Accurate passes 301

Santa Clara vs Rio Ave overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Santa Clara vs Rio Ave

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySanta ClaraDrawRio Ave
Model58.0%27.6%14.3%
Market50.7%28.5%20.8%
Final52.5%28.3%19.2%
Edge+7.4%-0.9%-6.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Santa Clara

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.65.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Santa Clara below the model: +7.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Santa Clara ↓ / Rio Ave → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 16% 12% 2 13% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Santa Clara and Rio Ave expected goals

Santa Clara 1.55
Rio Ave 0.65

Total expected goals: 2.20

Santa Clara and Rio Ave attack and defence ratings

Santa Clara

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Rio Ave

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Santa Clara vs Rio Ave: result vs prediction

Santa Clara 4 – 0 Rio Ave

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Primeira Liga

Before and after this match

Santa Clara vs Rio Ave markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Santa Clara 52.5% 1.90 +7.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 62.3% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score No 61.3% 1.63 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 80.8% 1.24 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 42.0% 2.38 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Santa Clara52.5%
Draw28.3%
Rio Ave19.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.537.7%
Under 2.562.3%
Both teams to scoreYes38.7%
No61.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)80.8%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)47.5%
Handicap -1Santa Clara win31.7%
Push (exactly one goal)26.3%
Loss42.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.1%
2-013.3%
1-112.3%

Santa Clara vs Rio Ave stats

Santa Clara and Rio Ave recent form

newest first
Santa Clara DWWDLW
Rio Ave LWLLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Santa Clara vs Rio Ave head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Santa Clara wins 3Draws 3Rio Ave wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11Santa ClaraRio AvePrimeira Liga0-2
2025-11-30Rio AveSanta ClaraPrimeira Liga1-1
2025-04-18Rio AveSanta ClaraPrimeira Liga1-1
2024-12-07Santa ClaraRio AvePrimeira Liga1-0
2024-07-27Rio AveSanta ClaraFriendlies Clubs1-2
2023-03-17Santa ClaraRio AvePrimeira Liga0-2
2022-10-02Rio AveSanta ClaraPrimeira Liga1-0
2022-07-23Rio AveSanta ClaraFriendlies Clubs0-2
2021-09-22Rio AveSanta ClaraTaça da Liga2-2
2021-05-11Santa ClaraRio AvePrimeira Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Santa Clara vs Rio Ave odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 51.7%, draw 27.7%, away 20.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.74 3.45 4.90
1xBet 1.91 3.41 4.68
Bet365 1.85 3.30 4.50
BetVictor 1.80 3.25 4.20
Betano 1.78 3.50 4.90
Betfair 1.75 3.50 4.60
Dafabet 1.84 3.50 4.80
Marathonbet 1.83 3.28 4.50
Pinnacle 1.88 3.33 4.81
SBO 1.80 3.04 3.80
Superbet 1.83 3.45 4.65
Unibet 1.81 3.45 4.50
William Hill 1.85 3.20 4.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.85 ▼ -0.15
X 3.29 ▲ +0.04
2 4.50 ▲ +0.65

14 snapshots recorded, from .