Maritimo
vs
Benfica
0 – 3 Full time
| 7′ | L. Barreiro | ||
| 17′ | A. BahJ. Kaminski | ||
| 40′ | Vladan Danilović | ||
| 41′ | Georgiy Sudakov | ||
| 42′ | Igor Julião | ||
| 61′ | Tomás Araújo | ||
| 62′ | G. SudakovA. Circati | ||
| 62′ | Rafa SilvaA. Schjelderup | ||
| 66′ | Alessandro Circati | ||
| 66′ | V. DanilovicI. Ayuma | ||
| 66′ | B. LimbombeS. Bamba | ||
| 71′ | L. Barreiro | ||
| 78′ | Igor JuliaoNilton | ||
| 78′ | A. ButzkeM. Boakye | ||
| 82′ | J. PalhinhaE. Barrenechea | ||
| 82′ | V. PavlidisJ. Duran | ||
| 82′ | G. Prestianni | ||
| 90′ | Raphael GuzzoM. Dominguez |
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 40 | Possession % | 60 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 1 |
| 252 | Accurate passes | 439 |
Maritimo vs Benfica overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Maritimo vs Benfica
| Probability | Maritimo | Draw | Benfica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.6% | 20.6% | 61.9% |
| Market | 6.6% | 14.1% | 79.3% |
| Final | 9.4% | 15.7% | 74.9% |
| Edge | +10.9% | +6.4% | -17.4% |
Why Benfica
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Maritimo and Benfica expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.54
Maritimo and Benfica attack and defence ratings
Maritimo
Benfica
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Maritimo vs Benfica: result vs prediction
Maritimo 0 – 3 Benfica
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Maritimo vs Benfica markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Benfica | 74.9% | 1.33 | -17.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.7% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 90.6% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Benfica win | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maritimo | 9.4% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| Benfica | 74.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.0% |
| No | 36.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 25.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 90.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Benfica win | 40.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 38.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.5% |
| 1-1 | 9.0% | |
| 0-2 | 7.9% |
Maritimo vs Benfica stats
Maritimo vs Benfica head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-12 | Maritimo | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 0-3 |
| 2022-09-18 | Benfica | Maritimo | Primeira Liga | 5-0 |
| 2022-04-30 | Maritimo | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2021-12-19 | Benfica | Maritimo | Primeira Liga | 7-1 |
| 2021-04-05 | Benfica | Maritimo | Primeira Liga | 1-0 |
| 2020-11-30 | Maritimo | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 1-2 |
| 2020-06-29 | Maritimo | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 2-0 |
| 2019-11-30 | Benfica | Maritimo | Primeira Liga | 4-0 |
| 2019-04-22 | Benfica | Maritimo | Primeira Liga | 6-0 |
| 2018-12-16 | Maritimo | Benfica | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Maritimo vs Benfica odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 7.6%, draw 14.8%, away 77.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 12.50 | 5.40 | 1.24 |
| 1xBet | 15.50 | 7.75 | 1.19 |
| Bet365 | 15.00 | 6.50 | 1.18 |
| BetVictor | 13.00 | 6.50 | 1.15 |
| Betano | 10.75 | 5.70 | 1.28 |
| Betfair | 12.00 | 5.50 | 1.22 |
| Dafabet | 11.00 | 6.40 | 1.26 |
| Marathonbet | 13.75 | 6.75 | 1.18 |
| Pinnacle | 14.48 | 7.57 | 1.19 |
| SBO | 7.53 | 4.94 | 1.24 |
| Superbet | 10.00 | 6.10 | 1.26 |
| Unibet | 12.00 | 6.00 | 1.23 |
| William Hill | 13.00 | 6.50 | 1.18 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
11 snapshots recorded, from .