Primeira Liga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Benfica vs GIL Vicente

3 – 1 Full time

7′Hector Hernandez
12′Enzo Barrenechea
26′Hector Hernandez
29′Vangelis Pavlidis
56′Agustín MoreiraSantiago García González
56′Hector HernandezMohamed Kaba
58′Leandro BarreiroFredrik Aursnes
58′Enzo BarrenecheaJoão Palhinha
63′João Palhinha
70′Lucão
72′Andreas SchjelderupClaudio Echeverri
72′Rafa SilvaDodi Lukebakio
81′David MoreiraJosé Silva
81′Gil Pinto MartinsTidjany Chabrol Toure
81′Daniel BanjaquiJhon Durán
87′Vangelis Pavlidis
88′Marvin Elimbi GilbertAntonio Espigares
90′Gianluca Prestianni
90′Ricardo Esgaio

Estádio da Luz, LisbonReferee: Joao Antonio Ferreira Goncalves, Portugal

Benfica 83%
Draw 12%
GIL Vicente 5%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 4
5 Shots on target 2
64 Possession % 36
14 Corners 0
11 Fouls 18
1 Saves 2
489 Accurate passes 256

Benfica vs GIL Vicente overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Benfica vs GIL Vicente

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBenficaDrawGIL Vicente
Model78.0%15.5%6.5%
Market84.3%11.0%4.8%
Final82.7%12.1%5.2%
Edge-6.3%+4.6%+1.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Benfica

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.54 vs 0.63.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Benfica ↓ / GIL Vicente → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 7% 2 13% 9% 3 11% 7% 4+ 13% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Benfica and GIL Vicente expected goals

Benfica 2.54
GIL Vicente 0.63

Total expected goals: 3.17

Benfica and GIL Vicente attack and defence ratings

Benfica

Attack 2.08 +108%
Defence 0.70 -30%

GIL Vicente

Attack 0.74 -26%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Benfica vs GIL Vicente: result vs prediction

Benfica 3 – 1 GIL Vicente

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Primeira Liga

Before and after this match

Benfica vs GIL Vicente markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Benfica 82.7% 1.21 -6.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.4% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score No 56.1% 1.78 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 94.8% 1.05 — —
Handicap -1 Benfica win 56.8% 1.76 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Benfica82.7%
Draw12.1%
GIL Vicente5.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.4%
Under 2.538.6%
Both teams to scoreYes43.9%
No56.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)94.8%
12 (either side)87.9%
X2 (draw or away)17.3%
Handicap -1Benfica win56.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.2%
Loss22.0%
Correct score (top 3)2-013.5%
3-011.4%
1-010.0%

Benfica vs GIL Vicente stats

Benfica and GIL Vicente recent form

newest first
Benfica WWWWWW
GIL Vicente LDWWLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Benfica and GIL Vicente going into this match

league record before kick-off

Benfica record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Benfica vs GIL Vicente head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

9Benfica wins 0Draws 1GIL Vicente wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-02GIL VicenteBenficaPrimeira Liga1-2
2025-09-26BenficaGIL VicentePrimeira Liga2-1
2025-03-28GIL VicenteBenficaPrimeira Liga0-3
2024-09-28BenficaGIL VicentePrimeira Liga5-1
2024-02-04BenficaGIL VicentePrimeira Liga3-0
2023-08-26GIL VicenteBenficaPrimeira Liga2-3
2023-04-29GIL VicenteBenficaPrimeira Liga0-2
2022-11-13BenficaGIL VicentePrimeira Liga3-1
2022-02-02BenficaGIL VicentePrimeira Liga1-2
2021-08-21GIL VicenteBenficaPrimeira Liga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Benfica vs GIL Vicente odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 83.2%, draw 11.6%, away 5.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.15 6.80 18.50
1xBet 1.12 10.40 21.00
888Sport 1.14 7.50 15.00
Bet365 1.12 8.00 21.00
BetVictor 1.10 7.50 18.00
Betano 1.15 9.00 23.00
Betfair 1.10 9.50 23.00
Dafabet 1.17 7.80 18.00
Marathonbet 1.11 8.60 17.00
Pinnacle 1.14 9.78 19.80
SBO 1.12 6.38 11.56
Unibet 1.16 7.50 16.00
William Hill 1.12 8.50 17.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.12 ▼ -0.03
X 8.60 ▲ +1.20
2 19.80 ▲ +2.80

12 snapshots recorded, from .