SC Braga
vs
Estoril
1 – 0 Full time
| 10′ | Fabrício GarciaAndré Tiago Ramos das Neves | ||
| 34′ | Francisco Reis Ferreira | ||
| 45′ | Bright Arrey MbiAdrian Bajrami | ||
| 58′ | Gabriel SilvaRicardo Horta | ||
| 58′ | Adrian BarisicVitor Carvalho | ||
| 63′ | Francisco Reis Ferreira | ||
| 64′ | Demir Ege TıknazJean-Baptiste Gorby | ||
| 65′ | André Tiago Ramos das NevesSamuel Amissah | ||
| 77′ | Ricard Sanchez SendraPedro Carvalho | ||
| 77′ | Jordan HolsgroveJordan Arnolin | ||
| 77′ | Nail OmerovicAndré Lacximicant | ||
| 81′ | Gustaf LagerbielkeJonas Wind | ||
| 83′ | Jonas Wind | ||
| 85′ | João Carvalho | ||
| 88′ | Pedro Carvalho |
Match stats
| 20 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 1 |
| 58 | Possession % | 42 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 9 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Offsides | 0 |
| 1 | Saves | 5 |
| 540 | Accurate passes | 377 |
SC Braga vs Estoril overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SC Braga vs Estoril
| Probability | SC Braga | Draw | Estoril |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 63.6% | 26.1% | 10.3% |
| Market | 68.1% | 20.4% | 11.5% |
| Final | 66.9% | 21.8% | 11.2% |
| Edge | -4.5% | +5.7% | -1.2% |
Why SC Braga
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 0.50.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SC Braga and Estoril expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.10
SC Braga and Estoril attack and defence ratings
SC Braga
Estoril
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SC Braga vs Estoril: result vs prediction
SC Braga 1 – 0 Estoril
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
SC Braga vs Estoril markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Braga | 66.9% | 1.49 | -4.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 36.4% | 2.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Braga | 66.9% |
| Draw | 21.8% | |
| Estoril | 11.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.5% |
| No | 67.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | SC Braga win | 36.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.5% | |
| Loss | 36.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.5% |
| 2-0 | 15.6% | |
| 0-0 | 13.1% |
SC Braga vs Estoril stats
SC Braga and Estoril recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SC Braga and Estoril going into this match
Estoril record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
SC Braga vs Estoril head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | SC Braga | Estoril | Primeira Liga | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-19 | Estoril | SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-19 | Estoril | SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 0-2 |
| 2024-12-06 | SC Braga | Estoril | Primeira Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-04-13 | Estoril | SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2024-01-27 | SC Braga | Estoril | Taça da Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-12-03 | SC Braga | Estoril | Primeira Liga | 3-1 |
| 2023-04-08 | SC Braga | Estoril | Primeira Liga | 4-1 |
| 2022-10-22 | Estoril | SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 0-2 |
| 2022-04-18 | Estoril | SC Braga | Primeira Liga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SC Braga vs Estoril odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 66.9%, draw 20.7%, away 12.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.50 | 4.10 | 6.25 |
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 4.77 | 8.15 |
| 888Sport | 1.53 | 3.80 | 6.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.50 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.33 | 4.60 | 7.50 |
| Betano | 1.44 | 4.60 | 9.00 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.75 | 8.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.55 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 4.55 | 7.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | 4.97 | 8.53 |
| SBO | 1.39 | 3.95 | 5.70 |
| Unibet | 1.52 | 4.10 | 6.10 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.50 | 7.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
14 snapshots recorded, from .