Maritimo
vs
Academico Viseu
2 – 2 Full time
Maritimo vs Academico Viseu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Maritimo vs Academico Viseu
| Probability | Maritimo | Draw | Academico Viseu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.1% | 33.8% | 32.1% |
| Market | 46.7% | 28.6% | 24.7% |
| Final | 43.6% | 29.9% | 26.5% |
| Edge | -12.7% | +5.2% | +7.5% |
Why Maritimo
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Maritimo and Academico Viseu expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.97
Maritimo and Academico Viseu attack and defence ratings
Maritimo
Academico Viseu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Maritimo vs Academico Viseu: result vs prediction
Maritimo 2 – 2 Academico Viseu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
Before and after this match
Maritimo vs Academico Viseu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maritimo | 43.6% | 2.30 | -12.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maritimo | 43.6% |
| Draw | 29.9% | |
| Academico Viseu | 26.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.7% |
| No | 59.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maritimo win | 13.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 65.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.2% |
| 1-1 | 14.9% | |
| 1-0 | 12.6% |
Maritimo vs Academico Viseu stats
Maritimo and Academico Viseu recent form
| Maritimo |
WWLLWW |
| Academico Viseu |
LDDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Maritimo vs Academico Viseu head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-01 | Academico Viseu | Maritimo | Segunda Liga | 3-1 |
| 2025-10-03 | Maritimo | Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Maritimo vs Academico Viseu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 46.7%, draw 28.6%, away 24.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.99 | 3.30 | 3.80 |
| 1xBet | 2.09 | 3.38 | 3.89 |
| 888Sport | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.70 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.20 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.00 | 3.13 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.95 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.09 | 3.35 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 3.25 | 3.74 |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 3.31 | 3.94 |
| SBO | 1.98 | 3.02 | 3.42 |
| Superbet | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.75 |
| Unibet | 1.97 | 3.35 | 4.00 |
| William Hill | 2.00 | 3.20 | 3.70 |