Vitória SC
vs
Moreirense
1 – 1 Full time
| 12′ | Gustavo SilvaMiguel Nogueira | ||
| 52′ | Tiago Andrade | ||
| 57′ | Alan de Souza GuimarãesBeni Mukendi | ||
| 57′ | Gonçalo NogueiraMatija Mitrović | ||
| 57′ | Lohann DoucetFábio Samuel Amorim Silva | ||
| 63′ | Leonardo VonićYan Maranhão | ||
| 63′ | Kiko BondosoChipyoka Songa | ||
| 66′ | Tiago AndradeRodrigo Alonso | ||
| 67′ | Manuel MendonçaLanderson Costa Araújo | ||
| 72′ | Oumar CamaraVictor Andersson | ||
| 89′ | Nile JohnKevyn Monteiro | ||
| 90′ | Toni Borevković |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 66 | Possession % | 34 |
| 3 | Corners | 0 |
| 10 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 563 | Accurate passes | 251 |
Vitória SC vs Moreirense overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Vitória SC vs Moreirense
| Probability | Vitória SC | Draw | Moreirense |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.9% | 30.0% | 26.1% |
| Market | 63.7% | 22.7% | 13.5% |
| Final | 58.8% | 24.6% | 16.7% |
| Edge | -19.8% | +7.3% | +12.5% |
Why Vitória SC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.99.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Vitória SC and Moreirense expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.34
Vitória SC and Moreirense attack and defence ratings
Vitória SC
Moreirense
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Vitória SC vs Moreirense: result vs prediction
Vitória SC 1 – 1 Moreirense
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Vitória SC vs Moreirense markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitória SC | 58.8% | 1.70 | -19.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vitória SC | 58.8% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Moreirense | 16.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.9% |
| No | 52.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vitória SC win | 21.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 56.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.7% | |
| 0-0 | 10.9% |
Vitória SC vs Moreirense stats
Vitória SC and Moreirense recent form
| Vitória SC |
LDLWLL |
| Moreirense |
WLLWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Vitória SC and Moreirense going into this match
Vitória SC record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Moreirense record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Vitória SC vs Moreirense head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Vitória SC | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-23 | Moreirense | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga | 2-0 |
| 2025-03-30 | Moreirense | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga | 2-2 |
| 2024-11-03 | Vitória SC | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-03-30 | Vitória SC | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 1-0 |
| 2023-11-05 | Moreirense | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga | 1-0 |
| 2022-04-03 | Moreirense | Vitória SC | Primeira Liga | 0-1 |
| 2021-11-21 | Moreirense | Vitória SC | Taça de Portugal | 3-2 |
| 2021-11-06 | Vitória SC | Moreirense | Primeira Liga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Vitória SC vs Moreirense odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 63.7%, draw 22.7%, away 13.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.52 | 4.32 | 6.98 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.90 | 7.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.30 | 6.80 |
| Betfair | 1.47 | 4.20 | 7.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 4.15 | 6.70 |
| Pinnacle | 1.50 | 4.34 | 7.06 |
| SBO | 1.47 | 3.88 | 5.99 |
| William Hill | 1.50 | 4.00 | 6.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .