Estrela
vs
Academico Viseu
0 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | André Clóvis | ||
| 24′ | André Clóvis | ||
| 30′ | Eddy Doué | ||
| 45′ | Gustavo Costa | ||
| 45′ | Eddy DouéJoan Jordan | ||
| 45′ | Gustavo CostaMiguel Ángel Brau Blanquez | ||
| 64′ | Lovro ZvonarekBeni Souza | ||
| 64′ | Santiago SerraKevin Hoog Jansson | ||
| 68′ | Joan Jordan | ||
| 69′ | Lorougnon GohiAlvaro Zamora | ||
| 73′ | Luis Silva | ||
| 73′ | Soufiane Messeguem | ||
| 77′ | Ianis StoicaRené Mitongo | ||
| 79′ | André ClóvisMohamed Bouldini | ||
| 79′ | Cihan KahramanAlejandro Mestanza | ||
| 84′ | Bernardo SchappoRobson Lucas Oliveira Botelho | ||
| 86′ | João GuilhermeNils Mortimer |
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 59 | Possession % | 41 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 11 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 380 | Accurate passes | 255 |
Estrela vs Academico Viseu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Estrela vs Academico Viseu
| Probability | Estrela | Draw | Academico Viseu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.0% | 26.3% | 33.7% |
| Market | 44.0% | 28.6% | 27.4% |
| Final | 43.0% | 28.0% | 29.0% |
| Edge | -3.9% | -2.4% | +6.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Estrela and Academico Viseu expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.04
Estrela and Academico Viseu attack and defence ratings
Estrela
Academico Viseu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Estrela vs Academico Viseu: result vs prediction
Estrela 0 – 2 Academico Viseu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Estrela vs Academico Viseu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estrela | 43.0% | 2.33 | -3.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 60.0% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Estrela | 43.0% |
| Draw | 28.0% | |
| Academico Viseu | 29.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.0% |
| No | 38.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Estrela win | 20.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 60.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 8.0% |
Estrela vs Academico Viseu stats
Estrela and Academico Viseu recent form
| Estrela |
DWDWDD |
| Academico Viseu |
WWLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Estrela and Academico Viseu going into this match
Estrela record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game on the road against 2.0 at home.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Academico Viseu record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Estrela vs Academico Viseu head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-05 | Academico Viseu | Estrela | Segunda Liga | 1-1 |
| 2022-09-12 | Estrela | Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga | 2-1 |
| 2022-03-05 | Academico Viseu | Estrela | Segunda Liga | 0-4 |
| 2021-10-10 | Estrela | Academico Viseu | Segunda Liga | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Estrela vs Academico Viseu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.0%, draw 28.6%, away 27.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.18 | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.30 | 3.30 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.30 |
| Marathonbet | 2.09 | 3.26 | 3.45 |
| Pinnacle | 2.15 | 3.41 | 3.65 |
| SBO | 2.15 | 3.08 | 3.11 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .