FC Copenhagen
vs
Aarhus
1 – 1 Full time
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus
| Probability | FC Copenhagen | Draw | Aarhus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 73.9% | 16.9% | 9.2% |
| Market | 59.1% | 22.4% | 18.6% |
| Final | 62.8% | 21.0% | 16.2% |
| Edge | +14.8% | -5.5% | -9.3% |
Why FC Copenhagen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 0.82.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Copenhagen below the model: +14.8 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Copenhagen and Aarhus expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.38
FC Copenhagen and Aarhus attack and defence ratings
FC Copenhagen
Aarhus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: result vs prediction
FC Copenhagen 1 – 1 Aarhus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 62.8% | 1.59 | +14.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.6% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Copenhagen | 62.8% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| Aarhus | 16.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.7% |
| No | 47.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Copenhagen win | 53.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 25.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.1% |
| 3-0 | 9.4% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus stats
FC Copenhagen and Aarhus recent form
| FC Copenhagen |
WLWWWW |
| Aarhus |
LWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Copenhagen and Aarhus going into this match
FC Copenhagen record
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Aarhus record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 57% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Aarhus | FC Copenhagen | Friendlies Clubs | 4-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Aarhus | FC Copenhagen | Denmark Superliga | 2-0 |
| 2025-08-08 | FC Copenhagen | Aarhus | Denmark Superliga | 2-3 |
| 2025-04-27 | Aarhus | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 1-3 |
| 2025-04-21 | FC Copenhagen | Aarhus | Superliga | 3-1 |
| 2025-02-08 | Aarhus | FC Copenhagen | Friendlies Clubs | 4-3 |
| 2024-11-10 | Aarhus | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 1-1 |
| 2024-07-28 | FC Copenhagen | Aarhus | Superliga | 3-2 |
| 2024-05-21 | Aarhus | FC Copenhagen | Superliga | 3-2 |
| 2024-04-28 | FC Copenhagen | Aarhus | Superliga | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 58.8%, draw 22.5%, away 18.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.59 | 4.20 | 4.93 |
| Bet365 | 1.57 | 4.10 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.62 | 4.20 | 4.60 |
| Dafabet | 1.66 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 4.44 | 5.49 |
| SBO | 1.65 | 3.46 | 3.97 |
| William Hill | 1.57 | 4.00 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .